Background information:

• I will try to update this page around noon, daily. The time on a daily report indicates the last update for a given day (not the first posting time).
• This service was created to help those having to drive far to fly at Soboba. You can keep me motivated by making a donation or asking me to provide your next wing/harness.
• Chance of soaring...
  The focus is on forecasting late afternoon (last 3 hours of daylight) soaring conditions for paragliders. Percentage of chance is for an average PG pilot to be able to gain altitude from the 800' launch (limited hiking) in the last 3 daylight hours and soar for 30+ minutes. Don't expect to see a 100% chance of soaring, it will be about 80% at best. If the chance is 50% or more, I recommend going for it.
  If one's goal is a morning speed flight, most mornings are possible before 10:30 am when thermal activity starts mixing air from different altitudes.
  If one's goal is just a late afternoon speed wing flight or paragliding "sledder", their odds are much better than my soaring (gaining altitude) prediction.
  If one's goal is an early afternoon high-altitude paragliding flight in strong conditions, their odds are better than my late afternoon prediction since one relies more on thermals, less on wind.
  For past days, the percentage is a Hindsight (no longer a guess/forecast).
• Hindsight. These comments are "after the fact". Some likely ones:
  • Good & Sure: It was verified (some did) that one could launch from the 800' (or lower) in last 3 daylight hours and have a 30+ min flight.
  • Good & Guess: Best guess is that it was possible to launch from the 800' (or lower) in last 3 daylight hours and have a 30+ min flight.
  • Bad & Guess: Best guess is that it was not possible to launch from the 800' (or lower) in last 3 daylight hours and have a 30+ min flight.
  • Bad & Sure: It was verified (some tried) that one could not launch from the 800' (or lower) in last 3 daylight hours and have a 30+ min flight.
• Simpler URL for this page: http://www.ExpandingKnowledge.com/SobobaToday
• Forecasting tools: Soboba > Conditions.
• Ideal wind direction for soaring and aligned with the 650' and 1300' launches, is SW (South West). Best wind for training hill and 250' launch is WNW, so what is good for soaring (SW) may not be good for them and vice versa.
• Cross wind direction. Positive angle is clockwise. +45° means wind is 45° from your right on launch. -90° means wind is 90° from your left on launch.
• Santa Ana winds (More info). This happens mostly in autumn and winter, and we experience it at Soboba as ENE wind, and it is usually sunny then. Scenarios based on predicted ENE wind strength at mountain top height:
  • Light: ENE 7 mph or less at mountain top.
    Expect to see very light (1-4 mph) favorable (SW) wind at the 650' launch. Chance of soaring above mountain in convergence from anabatic flow (thermal breeze) and wind from behind. Expect a light horizontal wind shear layer near mountain top height. Likely to need to use a higher launch (800' or 1000') instead of usual 650'. Example: 2013/12/13 flight report. Should be OK for speed flying all day.
  • Moderate: ENE 8-24 mph at mountain top.
    Expect to see a light (5-7 mph) favorable (SW) wind at the 650' launch, due to a combination of rotor and thermal breeze, until an abrupt change around 1-2 hours before sunset. Expect a moderate to strong horizontal wind shear layer near mountain top height. I would personally avoid these conditions. Should be OK for speed flying in early morning (up to 11:00 am).
  • Strong: ENE 25 mph and over at mountain top.
    Expect to see unstable wind directions at the 650' launch. Expect a very strong horizontal wind shear layer near mountain top height. Conditions can become bad at any time during the day. Flying in these conditions is "asking for it". Visualization: YouTube > Wind tunnel experiment of airflow past a 3D-hill.

2014 Forecasting

Soarable days per month in 2013

Tuesday, 2013/12/31. 11:34am
Sunset at 4:50 pm. RASP: Variable/3knot(10mAlt)/2pm, Variable/3/3pm, SE/2/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/5mph/2pm, WNW/6/3pm, NW/9/4pm, Sunny / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -90° to +90° cross. RASP predicts us being in the midle of a wind eddy at 2pm, with 15 mph E wind between us and Beaumont.
Hindsight: 3 had extended sledders from the 800' and 1000' launches. I was able to gain altitude, but then found rough air: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: E/8knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/20knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/12/30. 11:26am
Sunset at 4:49 pm. RASP: E/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/5/3pm, SSW/3/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/3mph/2pm, WSW/2/3pm, WNW/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3669' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +67° cross. Light Santa Ana winds. In a wind eddy according to RASP, with possible favorable light wind. Sunny condition will help produce thermals and an upslope breeze.
Hindsight: Soarable IF you wanted to: Hike to the 1000' launch, launch early (around 2 pm), scratch for a while before finding a thermal, deal with +90° cross wind and more turbulence than usual. Flight report.
Tuesday: Maybe: W/3knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: ESE/10knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/12/29. 11:58am
Sunset at 4:48 pm. RASP: SSE/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SE/6/3pm, SE/11/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/14mph/2pm, NNE/13/3pm, NNE/11/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/25knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2495' soaring ceiling/2pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +158° cross. Strong Santa Ana winds. 11:30am observation: Good for speed flying up to 11:15am in wind shadow, but 20-25 mph NE wind 2 miles W of LZ, with dust/dirt in the air.
Hindsight: Not a flyable afternoon. Wind direction at 650' launch going bad just after noon. Speed flying videos from the weekend starring Rich, Dave and Jarred.
Monday: Bad: ESE/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Maybe: W/3knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/12/28. 7:59am
Sunset at 4:47 pm. RASP: SW/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/7/3pm, SW/7/4pm. Weather.com: SW/5mph/2pm, SW/5/3pm, SW/5/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to 0° cross. Rare event that all predictors agree on wind direction and strength. Ideal wind direction predicted, but on light side, so launch early (2pm).
Hindsight: Soarable, with many getting flight times between 30-90 minutes.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/30knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. Strong Santa Ana winds
Monday: Bad: E/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/12/27. 8:10am
Sunset at 4:47 pm. RASP: ESE/6knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SE/5/3pm, ENE/8/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/5mph/2pm, ENE/4/3pm, ENE/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3578' soaring ceiling/2pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -90° cross. Moderate Santa Ana winds.
Hindsight: Good for speed flying until 3:20pm, then switch to NE at 18-23mph by 4:00pm.
Saturday: Bad: NNE/3knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. In a wind eddy.
Sunday: Bad: ESE/8knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/12/26. 11:43am
Sunset at 4:46 pm. RASP: ENE/17knot(10mAlt)/2pm, E/13/3pm, E/13/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/17mph/2pm, ESE/9/3pm, ESE/11/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3641' soaring ceiling/2pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -113° cross. Strong Santa Ana winds. 11:30am observation: Wind at 650' launch showing unstable wind direction, rapid changes between SE to W.
Hindsight: Bad. 35 mph E wind at 650' launch at 3:30 pm.
Friday: Bad: ENE/16knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 10% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/12/25. 11:51am
Sunset at 4:45 pm. RASP: ENE/32knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/27/3pm, ENE/23/4pm. Weather.com: E/19mph/2pm, ESE/15/3pm, ESE/8/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -113° cross. Soboba in strong wind shadow. Expect to see a favorable light (4-6 mph) wind at the 650' launch, due to a combination or rotor and thermal breeze, until and abrupt change. Great conditions for earning points at spending time with family and friends.
Hindsight: At 1 pm wind started turning towards E, with speed of 25-35 mph by 2 pm. Not good before either.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/33knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: ENE/17knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/12/24. 10:43am
Sunset at 4:45 pm. RASP: E/9knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ESE/9/3pm, ESE/7/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/2mph/2pm, ENE/6/3pm, NNE/3/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +158° cross. Soboba in wind shadow, conditions can change abruptly. Stronger wind (25 mph at 2pm) between us and Banning.
Hindsight: As is typical for our site in wind shadow, the 650' launch displayed a tempting S/SSW/SW at 5 mph. At 4:00pm, wind sharply changed to NE 15-25 mph.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/28knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/27knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/12/23. 11:59am
Sunset at 4:44 pm. RASP: ENE/24knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/19/3pm, ENE/19/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/5mph/2pm, ENE/12/3pm, ENE/11/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4406' soaring ceiling/2pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -113° cross. Soboba in strong wind shadow, conditions can change abruptly.
Hindsight: Swith to E wind at 3:30pm, light (5mph) and of variable (SE to W) direction before in afternoon.
Tuesday: Bad: E/10knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/22knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/12/22. 9:51am
Sunset at 4:44 pm. RASP: NNE/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/8/3pm, ENE/11/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/1mph/2pm, Calm/0/3pm, NE/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3039' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +158° cross.
Hindsight: Soboba in main wind shadow with wind at 650' launch of 5 mph varying from SSW to W during last 3 hours of daylight, then switch to NE at 10mph at sunset. So good for speed flying all day, but no PG (wisely) tried to soar.
Monday: Bad: ENE/29knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/13knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/12/21. 8:04am
Sunset at 4:43 pm. RASP: WSW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, W/4/3pm, WNW/3/4pm. Weather.com: SW/6mph/2pm, WSW/5/3pm, WSW/5/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3666' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Light wind, but sunshine should provide thermals. Launch early (2pm) to avoid chance that wind direction gets worse. Best day of this weekend.
Hindsight: Downgraded a 60% chance of soaring day which only produced extended sledders. Light wind was expected, but lack of thermals despite mostly sunny conditions. One pilot found a thermal but did "big ears" to escape the lift.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/20knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Bad: E/14knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/12/20. 10:35am
Sunset at 4:42 pm. RASP: SSW/6knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/10/3pm, WNW/9/4pm. Weather.com: SSW/2mph/2pm, NNE/5/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4505' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +158° cross. If it is good for launching around 2pm, don't wait as wind direction could turn to the worse after.
Hindsight: I was at training hill with students. No PG tried, but it seemed possible to launch and soar around 2pm.
Saturday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: ESE/11knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/12/19. 2:05pm
Sunset at 4:42 pm. RASP: SSW/9knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SSW/9/3pm, S/7/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/2pm, WSW/9/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, Mostly cloudy, 15% chance of rain. NOAA: Calm/0knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to +22° cross. 2:00 pm observation/update: Radar shows approaching rain + Forecast increased to 60% chance of rain at 3-4pm.
Hindsight: A mostly rainy afternoon.
Friday: Maybe: WSW/4knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. A local wind redirection may save us, but predictors are conflicting.
Saturday: Good: SW/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/12/18. 10:59am
Sunset at 4:42 pm. RASP: W/1knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WSW/7/3pm, SW/7/4pm. Weather.com: SSW/5mph/2pm, SSW/7/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, Mostly-Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Light wind (at 2pm) and cloudiness (less thermals) reduces the chance of soaring, use a higher launch to compensate.
Hindsight: I got lucky thanks to a blue hole in the cloudy skies: Flight report. Otherwise, not possible to gain altitude from launches after 1:30pm.
Thursday: Bad: WSW/11knot/3pm. Showers, 60% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: ENE/24knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/12/17. 10:25am
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: E/12knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/14/3pm, ENE/15/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/1mph/2pm, -/0/3pm, E/4/4pm, Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -135° cross. Stronger (21 mph) ENE wind just North of us. 10:14am observation: Behind ridge at Poppet Flats, blowing ENE 21-30 mph.
Hindsight: Launches were in wind shadow. 10+ mph North wind at Gold Base at 3:30pm.
Wednesday: Maybe: SSW/7knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. Cloudiness will reduce thermalling.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/11knot/3pm. Showers, 60% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/12/16. 10:28am
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: ENE/26knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/23/3pm, ENE/19/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/1mph/2pm, -/0/3pm, ENE/4/4pm, Cloudy / Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2621' soaring ceiling/2pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -135° cross. Our launches are in strong wind shadow today. 10:15am observation: Behind ridge at Poppet Flats, blowing NE 23-37 mph.
Hindsight: Launches were in shadow of strong wind.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/14knot/3pm. Cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Good: SW/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/12/15. 11:59am
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: ENE/34knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/33/3pm, ENE/34/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/22mph/2pm, ENE/23/3pm, ENE/13/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/25knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3755' soaring ceiling/2pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -135° cross. Our launches are in strong wind shadow today. 11:50am observation: Behind ridge at Poppet Flats, blowing ENE 30-49 mph.
Hindsight: Launches were in shadow of strong wind, but recorded a 28 mph ENE gust at 4pm.
Monday: Bad: E/15knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Maybe: E/4knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/12/14. 11:22am
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: E/28knot(10mAlt)/2pm, E/23/3pm, ESE/20/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/19mph/2pm, ENE/16/3pm, ENE/16/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/25knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -113° cross. Our launches are in strong wind shadow today.
Hindsight: At 3:15pm, wind switched at launch to NE 10-20 mph. In wind shadow before that.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/30knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy (I doubt it), 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Bad: ENE/27knot/3pm. Sunny, 10% (I doubt it) chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/12/13. 11:32am
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: WNW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, N/3/3pm, NNW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/5mph/2pm, NNE/5/3pm, NNW/6/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +67° to +158° cross. Thermal convection (sunny predicted) may override light unfavorable wind prediction early afternoon. 11:20am observation: Wind behind Soboba is favorable, so not blowing from behind (yet).
Hindsight: Flight Report.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/39knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/25knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/12/12. 12:53pm
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: WSW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WSW/5/3pm, WSW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/2pm, NNW/9/3pm, NNW/6/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3292' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind forecasts, but RASP most trusted. 12:45pm observation: 12 mph ENE wind (gusting to 24) at Poppet Flats behind ridge. 12:45pm observation: 2 mph NNW, 2 miles W of LZ.
Hindsight: As I launched around 2:30pm, wind turned from SW to WNW and increased from 5 to 10 mph. I gathered 13 min in bumpy air.
Friday: Maybe: W/4knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: E/28knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/12/11. 11:51am
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: E/10knot(10mAlt)/2pm, E/9/3pm, ENE/16/4pm. Weather.com: Calm/0mph/2pm, Calm/0/3pm, NNE/1/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2728' soaring ceiling/2pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +158° cross. 650' launch is in wind shadow of base (not thermic) wind: Launchable does not mean safe to fly. Stronger (20mph) East wind about 10 miles North of us. First day where sunset happens later. 11:35am observation: 20 mph ENE wind (gusting to 33) at Poppet Flats behind ridge. ENE predicted to increase at 4pm.
Hindsight: At 2:30pm wind switched to ENE and rapidly increased to 20 mph by 3:30pm.
Thursday: Maybe: Variable/4knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. In the middle of a low wind eddy.
Friday: Good: WSW/4knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/12/10. 2:22pm
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: E/21knot(10mAlt)/2pm, E/16/3pm, E/12/4pm. Weather.com: Calm/0mph/2pm, Calm/0/3pm, Calm/0/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3155' soaring ceiling/2pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to -135° cross. 650' launch is in wind shadow, so beware of rapidly changing wind strength and direction.
Hindsight: 5-7 mph SW at 650' launch was tempting, but unsafe to fly in wind shadow of 21 mph NE wind (gusting to 37) at Poppet Flats behind ridge.
Wednesday: Bad: E/20knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: E/6knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/12/9. 11:36am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: ENE/37knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/34/3pm, ENE/35/4pm. Weather.com: E/17mph/2pm, ENE/25/3pm, ENE/24/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/25knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3643' soaring ceiling/2pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to -135° cross. Cold (54°F at 2pm). Strong over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Bad wind, strength and direction.
Tuesday: Bad: ESE/8knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. In an eddy of strong East wind at Beaumont.
Wednesday: Bad: ESE/14knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/12/8. 7:54am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: WSW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WSW/5/3pm, WSW/5/4pm. Weather.com: SSE/5mph/2pm, SSE/5/3pm, SE/4/4pm, Mostly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -90° to +22° cross. Cold (52°F at 2pm). Cloudiness will reduce thermals and light wind not helping ridge soaring.
Hindsight: It was soarable, thanks to a break in the clouds.
Monday: Bad: E/25knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: SSE/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. In an eddy of strong East wind at Beaumont.

Saturday, 2013/12/7. 1:00pm
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: SSW/15knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SSW/14/3pm, SSW/15/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/15mph/2pm, WNW/13/3pm, WNW/16/4pm, Cloudy, 25% chance of rain. NOAA: W/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +112° cross. Cold (52°F at 2pm). Too windy for paragliding? Risk of rain. 1:55pm observation: Light rain 2 miles W of LZ, more predicted.
Hindsight: A rainy afternoon.
Sunday: Bad: NNW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain.
Monday: Bad: E/21knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/12/6. 7:59am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: SW/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/9/3pm, SSW/7/4pm. Weather.com: SSW/6mph/2pm, SSW/6/3pm, S/5/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 5310' soaring ceiling/2pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to 0° cross. Cold (50°F at 2pm).
Hindsight: More clouds (almost no sun) than predicted. Flight report.
Saturday: Bad: SW/15knot/3pm. Rain, 90% chance of rain.
Sunday: Good: WSW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/12/5. 11:08am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: W/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, W/5/3pm, W/5/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/6mph/2pm, W/5/3pm, WSW/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Cold (54°F at 2pm).
Hindsight: Soaring ruined by a stationary cloud street casting a shadow on and in front of the mountain between 1:00-3:30pm.
Friday: Good: SW/7knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: SW/25knot/3pm. Rain, 80% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/12/4. 12:47pm
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/2pm, W/9/3pm, W/7/4pm. Weather.com: NNW/3mph/2pm, WSW/5/3pm, NNW/5/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +112° cross. Cold (58°F at 2pm).
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Thursday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain.
Friday: Good: SW/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/12/3. 8:20am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: (No data as of 8:12am). Weather.com: SSW/11mph/2pm, SSW/11/3pm, SW/11/4pm, Mostly sunny / Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to 0° cross. No RASP data today, ony showing a copy of yesterday's. Despite cloudiness, enough wind predicted for ridge soaring, if no rain.
Hindsight: Many PG soared, up to near 2 hours. Even speed wings soared for 20+ minutes. Pilot Report.
Wednesday: Good: WSW/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. Start of much colder days.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/12/2. 8:03am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: WSW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WSW/7/3pm, SW/6/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/2pm, WSW/6/3pm, SW/6/4pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +90° cross. Decent wind direction, but light for ridge soaring. Cloudiness will reduce thermal strength. So try using a higher launch.
Hindsight: A few PG pilots had extended sledders. Good all day for speed flying.
Tuesday: Maybe: WSW/5knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Good: SW/11knot/3pm. Sunny, 10% chance of rain. Start of much colder days.

Sunday, 2013/12/1. 8:17am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: E/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/7/3pm, ENE/8/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/7mph/2pm, NNE/6/3pm, NNE/6/4pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3451' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Maybe thermal convection will overpower the light/moderate over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Longest PG flight was 6 min by Jean-Noel. Good for speed flying all day until 3:30pm.
Monday: Good: WSW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Maybe: WSW/16knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. Strong wind: Good for speed soaring or HG.

Saturday, 2013/11/30. 8:01am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: ENE/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/7/3pm, ENE/7/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/7mph/2pm, N/6/3pm, N/6/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4183' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Maybe thermal convection will overpower the light/moderate over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Longest PG flight was 10 min by Jean-Noel. Good for speed flying all day.
Sunday: Bad: ESE/6knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Maybe: WSW/3knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/11/29. 8:01am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: SW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/7/3pm, ENE/13/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/5mph/2pm, ENE/5/3pm, NE/5/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4236' soaring ceiling/2pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. RASP predicts E 17 mph wind between us & Beaumont.
Hindsight: Rain on/off all day. I had 1 speed flight in afternoon, launching from 800' with a 2 mph tailwind.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: ESE/9knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/11/28. 11:59am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: SW/9knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/9/3pm, N/5/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/1mph/2pm, -/0/3pm, WNW/3/4pm, Mostly cloudy / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: (1 day old) SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +167° cross. RASP predicts we will be in an eddy of E 21 mph wind between us & Beaumont. Cloudiness will reduce thermal strength. 11:50am observation: Despite favorable wind at launch (SW 5mph), 2 miles W of LZ we have ENE 5-10mph. 70% chance of gaining weight (Thanksgiving).
Hindsight: Recorded wind at launch between 2:00-3:30pm was SW around 7 mph, but behind (Poppet Flats) it stayed NE 9-17 mph, so conditions were most likely that of thermal convection in wind shadow, with a wind shear near the height of the mountain.
Friday: Bad: ENE/10knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: WNW/5knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/11/27. 10:42am
Sunset at 4:39 pm. RASP: ENE/20knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/19/3pm, ENE/19/4pm. Weather.com: -/0mph/2pm, S/3/3pm, ENE/2/4pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2472' soaring ceiling/2pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to -45° cross. 10:30am observation at launch: ENE at 17mph.
Hindsight: During last 3 hours of daylight, wind was from NE-ENE.
Thursday: Good: SW/7knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. 75% chance of Thanksgiving interference.
Friday: Maybe: SW/5knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. 15 mph East wind at Beaumont & Banning.

Tuesday, 2013/11/26. 10:13am
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: ENE/25knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/26/3pm, ENE/27/4pm. Weather.com: -/0mph/2pm, E/12/3pm, E/5/4pm, Sunny / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3499' soaring ceiling/2pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to -135° cross. Over-the-back wind already in place this morning, but not felt at launch which is in wind shadow. Expect a rapid degradation in conditions, probably early afternoon.
Hindsight: At 11:30am, wind started switching direction to the predicted afternoon ENE.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/23knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Maybe: SW/5knot/3pm. Few showers, 30% chance of rain. 75% chance of Thanksgiving interference.

Monday, 2013/11/25. 12:59pm
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: NW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/6/3pm, WNW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/2mph/2pm, NNW/5/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 5964' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. One can hope that thermal convection (sunny day) will dominate over light unfavorable base wind.
Hindsight: Not good, but possible... Wind at launch varied from WSW to W, while in valley it was W-WNW.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/27knot/3pm. Cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/21knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/11/24. 10:56am
Sunset at 4:40 pm. RASP: WNW/3knot(10mAlt)/2pm, NNE/3/3pm, NE/7/4pm. Weather.com: NNW/5mph/2pm, NNW/5/3pm, NNW/5/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NE/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3709' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +67° to +180° cross. Paul Borne memorial at 1pm. One can hope that thermal convection (sunny day) will dominate over light unfavorable base wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable during last 3 hours of daylight, but possible before: Flight report.
Monday: Bad: NE/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/25knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/11/23. 12:18pm
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: W/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/5/3pm, NW/5/4pm. Weather.com: -/0mph/2pm, WNW/7/3pm, NNE/5/4pm, Sunny / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross.
Hindsight: Weather station at launch down, but 2 miles W of LZ: Light N wind & partly/mostly cloudy during 2-3pm.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Bad: N/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/11/22. 8:22am
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: NW/6knot(10mAlt)/2pm, N/5/3pm, ENE/13/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/11mph/2pm, NNE/11/3pm, NNE/12/4pm, Showers / Few showers, 40% chance of rain. NOAA: E/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Weather.com predicts rain to return at 2pm. Wind advisory until 10pm.
Hindsight: Rain between 1:00-4:30pm and NE wind between 2:45-4:45pm.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/15knot/3pm. Cloudy, 10% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/17knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/11/21. 12:19pm
Sunset at 4:41 pm. RASP: S/10knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SSW/15/3pm, SSW/15/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/4mph/2pm, SSW/3/3pm, SSE/2/4pm, Mostly cloudy / Scattered showers, 35% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 2376' soaring ceiling/2pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -67° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Intermittent rain during afternoon (12:15pm, 3:30pm, 4pm) and South wind.
Friday: Bad: SW/5knot/3pm. Showers, 60% chance of rain. Wind advisory starting at 4am.
Saturday: Bad: ESE/5knot/3pm. Showers, 60% chance of rain. Wind advisory until 2pm.

Wednesday, 2013/11/20. 1:24pm
Sunset at 4:42 pm. RASP: SW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/7/3pm, SW/7/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/2pm, W/8/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2870' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Light wind. Cloudy. Small chance of rain.
Hindsight: Short soaring under light rain.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/12knot/3pm. Showers, 50% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: SSE/11knot/3pm. Showers, 30% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/11/19. 11:59am
Sunset at 4:42 pm. RASP: WNW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/5/3pm, W/7/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/2pm, WNW/6/3pm, W/5/4pm, Mostly Cloudy / Cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2870' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Not a good combination forecasted: Light wind, cloudy, 45° cross right.
Hindsight: Not soarable from 650': Recorded wind of 2-5 mph.
Wednesday: Bad: W/9knot/3pm. Few showers, 30% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: SSW/10knot/3pm. Showers, 70% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/11/18. 1:12pm
Sunset at 4:43 pm. RASP: W/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, W/7/3pm, WSW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/2pm, WNW/10/3pm, WNW/11/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: (2 day old) ~/~knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4542' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Not good: After 2pm, wind direction at launch was between WSW and WNW. 2 miles W of LZ (my house), wind was light WNW since noon.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW/5knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/11/17. 8:47am
Sunset at 4:43 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/5/3pm, ESE/5/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/3mph/2pm, WSW/7/3pm, WSW/6/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: (1 day old) ESE/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4210' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -112° to +45° cross. RASP predicts we will be in an eddy from strong E wind in Banning. Full sun will help thermal convection improve local wind direction.
Hindsight: A few extended sledded (10-15 minutes) with rough air.
Monday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/11/16. 8:15am
Sunset at 4:44 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/10knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SSW/11/3pm, SW/9/4pm. Weather.com: SW/13mph/2pm, SW/11/3pm, SW/10/4pm, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3025' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to 0° cross. Cold (62°F) at 2pm. Some cloudiness up to 2pm.
Hindsight: More cloudiness than predicted spoiled all forecasts. One PPG (engine off) soared and extended speed wing flights.
Sunday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. In a wind eddy.
Monday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/11/15. 8:10am
Sunset at 4:44 pm. RASP: SSW/11knot(10mAlt)/2pm, S/9/3pm, SE/7/4pm. Weather.com: SSW/20mph/2pm, SSW/13/3pm, SSW/9/4pm, Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2578' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -90° to -22° cross.
Hindsight: Many pilots enjoyed long flights. Better than RASP prediction.
Saturday: Maybe: SSW/10knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain.
Sunday: Good: WSW/5knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/11/14. 8:09am
Sunset at 4:45 pm. RASP: S/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SSW/8/3pm, SW/6/4pm. Weather.com: SW/6mph/2pm, WSW/6/3pm, SW/6/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 2260' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to +22° cross.
Hindsight: Soarable from 3:30pm to 4:15 pm, with one speed flying student getting some airtime.
Friday: Good: SW/9knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain.
Saturday: Maybe: SW/9knot/3pm. Few showers, 30% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/11/13. 7:54am
Sunset at 4:46 pm. RASP: ENE/23knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/21/3pm, ENE/21/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/5mph/2pm, ENE/5/3pm, NE/5/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 2434' soaring ceiling/2pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. Strong over-the-back wind expected. Conditions can rapidly change from mild to wild.
Hindsight: Wind direction went bad (NW) at 12:45pm and started blowing down (E-NE) at 1:15pm.
Thursday: Good: SW/9knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Friday: Good: SW/5knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/11/12. 7:44am
Sunset at 4:46 pm. RASP: (to be updated) ENE/20knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/19/3pm, ENE/19/4pm. Weather.com: NNE/7mph/2pm, N/8/3pm, N/8/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4976' soaring ceiling/2pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Cloudy skies (reduced thermals) may prevent higher altitude strong wind to mix with surface conditions.
Hindsight: Not soarable: Cloudy skies and very little wind (in contrast to wind forecasted by RASP).
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/21knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Good: SW/7knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/11/11. 11:25am
Sunset at 4:47 pm. RASP: SE/4knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ESE/5/3pm, ESE/6/4pm. Weather.com: NNW/7mph/2pm, WNW/8/3pm, WNW/8/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 5848' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -112° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind direction prediction. Light wind, so there is a chance thermal convection prevails, if launching early (2pm).
Hindsight: Recorded wind indicates mosty W/WNW (not good) after 2pm.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/19knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/16knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/11/10. 1:08pm
Sunset at 4:48 pm. RASP: NW/3knot(10mAlt)/2pm, NNW/5/3pm, N/6/4pm. Weather.com: W/5mph/2pm, WNW/7/3pm, WNW/6/4pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +135° cross. Light unfavorable wind predicted, so launch early (2pm) while thermals can still dominate conditions. 1pm observation at launch is better than RASP forecasted.
Hindsight: One PG pilot able to climb a bit and get 25 min airtime, but also found rough air due to bad wind direction.
Monday: Bad: ESE/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/25knot/3pm. Cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/11/9. 10:43am
Sunset at 4:48 pm. RASP: W/3knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/4/3pm, NW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/5mph/2pm, WNW/4/3pm, WNW/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3596' soaring ceiling/2pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +90° cross. Light wind, so launch early (2pm) before thermals weaken too much.
Hindsight: Smooth thermals and straight in breeze, thanks to full sun making local convection overcome unfavorable light wind.
Sunday: Bad: SE/3knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Bad: ESE/6knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/11/8. 1:25pm
Sunset at 4:49 pm. RASP: WSW/3knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WSW/4/3pm, WSW/3/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/2pm, NNW/4/3pm, WNW/4/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/2pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. Light wind, so launch early (2pm) before thermals weaken too much. 1:22pm observation, 2 miles W of LZ: 2 mph NNE.
Hindsight: Marginal: Wind was 6mph (gust to 10) between 2:00-4:30pm from WSW-W (22-45° cross), dropped after.
Saturday: Maybe: W/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. Unstable wind direction because Soboba in a small wind eddy.
Sunday: Good: WSW/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/11/7. 10:59am
Sunset at 4:50 pm. RASP: ENE/19knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/17/3pm, ENE/14/4pm. Weather.com: ENE/11mph/2pm, NNE/9/3pm, ENE/17/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/2pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Strong ENE wind can cause sudden change in conditions at Soboba in wind shadow.
Hindsight: Bad wind direction after 1:30pm.
Friday: Maybe: W/3knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Maybe: WSW/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. Unstable wind direction because Soboba in a small wind eddy.

Wednesday, 2013/11/6. 11:53am
Sunset at 4:51 pm. RASP: ENE/24knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ENE/21/3pm, SE/23/4pm. Weather.com: ESE/14mph/2pm, E/12/3pm, ENE/17/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/2pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to -90° cross. Strong ENE wind can cause sudden change in conditions at Soboba in wind shadow.
Hindsight: At 1:30pm wind made abrupt switch to E/ENE and increasing strength. Again, switch happened 30 minutes earlier at my house (2 mile W of LZ, more exposed to true wind), like an early warning system.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/16knot/3pm. Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.
Friday: Good: SW/5knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/11/5. 7:46am
Sunset at 4:51 pm. RASP: (to be updated) ESE/8knot(10mAlt)/2pm, ESE/9/3pm, SE/9/4pm. Weather.com: N/11mph/2pm, N/10/3pm, N/9/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4798' soaring ceiling/2pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +135° cross. Caution: Strong E wind close to our North.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/26knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/15knot/3pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/11/4. 1:37pm
Sunset at 4:52 pm. RASP: NW/5knot(10mAlt)/2pm, WNW/3/3pm, S/3/4pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/2pm, WNW/6/3pm, W/8/4pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 4051' soaring ceiling/2pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to +112° cross. Reduced thermals if clouds persist.
Hindsight: Not good for soaring, wind was WSW-W and averaging 3 mph with gusts to 8. Cloudier than predicted.
Tuesday: Maybe: SW/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain. Caution: Strong E wind close to our North, with our site in a wind eddy.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/20knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/11/3. 2:12pm
Sunset at 4:53 pm. RASP: SW/7knot(10mAlt)/2pm, SW/6/3pm, SW/5/4pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/2pm, WSW/6/3pm, WSW/7/4pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/4pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/3pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +22° cross. Light wind, so launch early and rely on thermals.
Hindsight: Light wind, but possible soaring. A PG student broke a leg at 2:45pm.
Monday: Maybe: S/3knot/3pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Bad: SE/7knot/3pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/11/2. 2:16pm
Sunset at 5:54 pm. RASP: SW/9knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/7/4pm, SSW/9/5pm. Weather.com: SSW/3mph/3pm, WSW/4/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. The TFR for the Hemet airshow ended at 2:00 pm today.
Hindsight: It was good until 5:00pm.
Sunday: Good: SW/7knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Monday: Maybe: W/7knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/11/1. 10:53am
Sunset at 5:55 pm. RASP: ESE/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/11/4pm, ENE/16/5pm. Weather.com: NNW/3mph/3pm, NNW/1/4pm, N/5/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4060' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +135° cross. At 10:50am, 16-28 mph ENE wind behind Soboba (at Poppet Flat).
Hindsight: At 3:40pm, wind at launch switched to NW then stabilized to ENE. 2 miles W of LZ, wind already from the North at 3:10pm.
Saturday: Good: SW/8knot/4pm. Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Sunday: Good: SW/8knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/10/31. 11:38am
Sunset at 5:56 pm. RASP: ENE/12knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/13/4pm, ENE/16/5pm. Weather.com: NNW/1mph/3pm, NNW/0/4pm, NNW/2/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4842' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +112° cross. At 11:30am, 19-31 mph NE wind behind Soboba (at Poppet Flat).
Hindsight: At 3:50pm it started blowing down. 2 miles W of LZ, wind already from the North at 3pm.
Friday: Bad: ENE/19knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Saturday: Good: WSW/5knot/4pm. Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/10/30. 2:14pm
Sunset at 5:57 pm. RASP: WNW/5knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WNW/5/4pm, WNW/4/5pm. Weather.com: WNW/4mph/3pm, WSW/5/4pm, NNW/8/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: -/0knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5949' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. At 2pm: Better wind direction at launch than predicted.
Hindsight: Recorded wind suggests soarable between 3:00pm and 5:20pm.
Thursday: Bad: ENE/15knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: E/11knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/10/29. 10:02am
Sunset at 5:58 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WSW/5/4pm, WNW/6/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/3pm, W/9/4pm, W/9/5pm, Sunny, 15% chance of rain. NOAA: W/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Colder than normal (64°F at 3pm). Early (3pm) better than later.
Hindsight: Wind recording from 3:30-4:30pm indicates good WSW at 7+ mph, after that wind turned WNW.
Wednesday: Bad: NNW/5knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.
Thursday: Bad: E/11knot/4pm. Sunny, 0% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/10/28. 11:58am
Sunset at 5:59 pm. RASP: SW/23knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WSW/17/4pm, SSW/14/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/17mph/3pm, WSW/13/4pm, WSW/13/5pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Too windy for paragliding? Colder than normal (63°F at 3pm). Rain expected soon after sunset.
Hindsight: Wind was 10-20mph at 650' launch, mostly SW, but some SSW.
Tuesday: Maybe: WSW/6knot/4pm. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: E/3knot/4pm. Mostly sunny, 20% chance of rain.

Sunday, 2013/10/27. 7:36am
Sunset at 6:00 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/9knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SSW/9/4pm, SSW/11/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/3pm, WSW/10/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +22° cross.
Hindsight: Great soaring conditions and many pilots enjoyed.
Monday: Bad: W/13knot/4pm. Showers, 40% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Maybe: SW/7knot/4pm. Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/10/26. 12:38pm
Sunset at 6:01 pm. RASP: ENE/17knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/19/4pm, ENE/19/5pm. Weather.com: ENE/1mph/3pm, WNW/2/4pm, WNW/3/5pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +67° cross. Cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Koosje had longest flight by maintaining altitude about 25 minutes from a higher launch. Pictures by Jeff Boehler. Video by my brother-in-law, Dennis.
Sunday: Good: SW/7knot/4pm. Sunny.
Monday: Maybe: W/5knot/4pm. Few showers, 30% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/10/25. 10:55am
Sunset at 6:02 pm. RASP: WNW/3knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WNW/5/4pm, WNW/5/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/5mph/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. All 3 predictors agree on light wind and poor direction. Moderate surface smog in the valley at 10:50am.
Hindsight: Not good. At 3 pm weather station at launch reported optimistic 22° cross right (or WSW) but in valley it was 90° cross. As thermals reduce, conditions at launch start matching that of the valley.
Saturday: Bad according to RASP (most often right): ENE/15knot/4pm. Good according to weather.com: WSW/6mph/4pm + Partly cloudy. Regardless of conditions, come for the Halloween Fly-In party with live band.
Sunday: Maybe: W/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/10/24. 1:56pm
Sunset at 6:03 pm. RASP: W/3knot(10mAlt)/3pm, W/5/4pm, W/5/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/3pm, NNE/3/4pm, NNW/8/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3841' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +167° cross. Prediction of light wind and poor direction. Thick surface smog in the valley at 1:50pm is a bad sign.
Hindsight: Wind at launch was weak, and wind in San Jacinto valley not favorable or insufficient.
Friday: Bad: NW/3knot/4pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/15knot/4pm. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/10/23. 11:27am
Sunset at 6:04 pm. RASP: SW/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/7/4pm, SW/6/5pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/3pm, WNW/4/4pm, WNW/4/5pm, Partly cloudy / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3936' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions. Light wind. Some cloudiness reducing thermals. Thick surface smog in the valley.
Hindsight: Sledders.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/5knot/4pm. Sunny.
Friday: Maybe: WSW/3knot/4pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/10/22. 9:55am
Sunset at 6:05 pm. RASP: ENE/21knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/21/4pm, ENE/21/5pm. Weather.com: ESE/2mph/3pm, WSW/7/4pm, WSW/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3824' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +23° cross.
Hindsight: Some favorable wind periods at launch, separated by W & SSE wind directions. But mostly North wind 2 mile W of LZ.
Wednesday: Maybe: SW/5knot/4pm. Sunny.
Thursday: Maybe: W/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/10/21. 2:34pm
Sunset at 6:06 pm. RASP: ENE/12knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/14/4pm, ENE/13/5pm. Weather.com: SSW/3mph/3pm, SSW/6/4pm, NNW/1/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4862' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: At 3:25pm wind shifted from SW to W, so most of the last 3 daylight hours not good.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/19knot/4pm. Partly cloudy / Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/13knot/4pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/10/20. 10:38am
Sunset at 6:07 pm. RASP: SW/6knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/5/4pm, SW/5/5pm. Weather.com: WNW/5mph/3pm, NNW/3/4pm, W/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +112° cross. Lighter than usual wind. Conflicting wind direction predictions, but RASP is favorable.
Hindsight: Not good (Trusted RASP was wrong) for last 3 daylight hours had wind 45-67° (W-WNW) cross from right. Pilot report.
Monday: Bad: ENE/17knot/4pm. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: NE/19knot/4pm. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/10/19. 1:10pm
Sunset at 6:09 pm. RASP: S/4knot(10mAlt)/3pm, W/5/4pm, W/4/5pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/3pm, NNW/7/4pm, NNE/8/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4581' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to +167° cross. Chance that thermal breeze will overrule any light unfavorable base wind.
Hindsight: Soarable until 3:45pm (wind shifted to W, then WNW by 4:30pm) but no pilot took advantage of it. Late afternoon sledders for a few PG and one SF with 2 flights.
Sunday: Maybe: W/5knot/4pm. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: ENE/15knot/4pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/10/18. 3:41pm
Sunset at 6:10 pm. RASP: E/10knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/13/4pm, ENE/17/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/1mph/3pm, N/7/4pm, N/1/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 5768' soaring ceiling/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +135° cross. Be cautious of a rapid wind direction change.
Hindsight: Wind shifted direction rapidly at 3:30pm from SW 5-15mph to NW 9-19 mph. It had switched 30 min before at my house (2 miles West of LZ).
Saturday: Bad: ENE/11knot/4pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Maybe: W/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/10/17. 7:47am
Sunset at 6:11 pm. RASP: (to be updated) W/5knot(10mAlt)/3pm, W/5/4pm, W/5/5pm. Weather.com: W/8mph/3pm, W/8/4pm, W/8/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross. Perfect for speed flying this morning (very light wind).
Hindsight: Extended sledder for one PG pilot. Multiple speed wing flights from 800 launch.
Friday: Bad: ENE/13knot/4pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/11knot/4pm. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/10/16. 1:48pm
Sunset at 6:12 pm. RASP: E/4knot(10mAlt)/3pm, NE/4/4pm, NE/6/5pm. Weather.com: NNW/5mph/3pm, WNW/4/4pm, NNW/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. Stronger wind nearby to our North. Chance that thermal convection can override locally light/moderate over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: After 3:45pm wind turned to W and NW (bad direction).
Thursday: Bad: WNW/5knot/4pm. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: ENE/18knot/4pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/10/15. 11:33am
Sunset at 6:13 pm. RASP: NE/4knot(10mAlt)/3pm, NE/7/4pm, NE/13/5pm. Weather.com: Calm/3pm, ENE/5/4pm, ENE/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 4492' soaring ceiling/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. Stronger wind close to our North. Chance that thermal convection can override locally light/moderate over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: After 3:45pm wind was W-NW (bad direction).
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/7knot/4pm. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: W/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/10/14. 11:58am
Sunset at 6:15 pm. RASP: ENE/13knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/16/4pm, ENE/19/5pm. Weather.com: NNE/13mph/3pm, ENE/13/4pm, NNE/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Reminder: Good wind at launch does not mean safe to fly in wind shadow of mountain.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/10knot/4pm. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/8knot/4pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/10/13. 7:49am
Sunset at 6:16 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/9knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/9/4pm, SW/9/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/3pm, W/9/4pm, W/9/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. RASP predicts convergence line to stay close to our North making favorable wind direction less secure.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Monday: Bad: ENE/12knot/4pm. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE/16knot/4pm. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/10/12. 1:49pm
Sunset at 6:17 pm. RASP: W-WNW/8knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, WNW/9/5pm. Weather.com: NNW/7mph/3pm, NNW/6/4pm, NNW/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3933' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Not soarable, but good for students flying from 250' launch.
Sunday: Good: SW/9knot/4pm. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: N/3knot/4pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/10/11. 1:26pm
Sunset at 6:18 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, WNW/9/5pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4497' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross. Light wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable, but good for students flying from 250' launch.
Saturday: Maybe: W/7knot/4pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: WNW/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/10/10. 2:57pm
Sunset at 6:20 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, W/7/4pm, WNW/7/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/3pm, W/8/4pm, W/8/5pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5411' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Light wind. Cool day (68°F max).
Hindsight: More clouds than forecasted. Excellent for student training, but sledders for pilots.
Friday: Bad: NE/4knot/4pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Maybe: W/7knot/4pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/10/10. 2:57pm
Sunset at 6:20 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, W/7/4pm, WNW/7/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/3pm, W/8/4pm, W/8/5pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5411' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Light wind. Cool day (68°F max).
Hindsight: More clouds than forecasted. Excellent for student training, but sledders for pilots.
Friday: Bad: NE/4knot/4pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Maybe: W/7knot/4pm. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/10/9. 7:41am
Sunset at 6:21 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/19knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/15/4pm, SW/18/5pm. Weather.com: SW/14mph/3pm, SW/13/4pm, SW/13/5pm, Showers / Light rain, 70% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to 0° cross. Strong wind and rain (starting around 2pm). Cool day (68°F max).
Hindsight: No soaring due to rain.
Thursday: Good: WSW/7knot/4pm. Partly cloudy. 10% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: WNW/5knot/4pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/10/8. 7:38am
Sunset at 6:22 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/9knot(10mAlt)/3pm, SW/9/4pm, SW/11/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/3pm, WSW/10/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (to be updated) 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
80% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +22° cross.
Hindsight: It was soarable and many pilots enjoyed. 5 students soaring, one up to 80 minutes, one so happy she jumped up & down after landing.
Wednesday: Bad: SW/21knot/4pm. Cloudy. 50% chance of rain. Cooler (65°F max)
Thursday: Bad: WNW/6knot/4pm. Mostly sunny.

Monday, 2013/10/7. 7:33am
Sunset at 6:23 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/7knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, SW/12/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/3pm, W/8/4pm, W/8/5pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Some cloudiness will reduce thermal strength.
Hindsight: It was soarable, with many having long flight until sunset. Pilot report.
Tuesday: Good: SW/10knot/4pm. Sunny.
Wednesday: Maybe: SSW/17knot/4pm. Sunny. 30% chance of rain. Cooler (65°F max)

Sunday, 2013/10/6. 1:26pm
Sunset at 6:25 pm. RASP: E/8knot(10mAlt)/3pm, E/7/4pm, ENE/6/5pm. Weather.com: ENE/9mph/3pm, NE/2/4pm, NNE/1/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5525' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. Stronger East wind close by to the North. Chance that anabatic wind localy overpowers light/moderate over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Extended sledders for 2 PG pilots.
Monday: Good: SW/9knot/4pm. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SW/11knot/4pm. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/10/5. 7:09am
Sunset at 6:26 pm. RASP: (to be updated) ENE/29knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/31/4pm, ENE/27/5pm. Weather.com: NE/17mph/3pm, NE/20/4pm, NE/22/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (to be updated) 5563' soaring ceiling/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. Soboba is in the wind shadow of today's strong NE wind, conditions can change rapidly.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/9knot/4pm. Sunny.
Monday: Good: SW/7knot/4pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/10/4. 7:32am
Sunset at 6:27 pm. RASP: (to be updated) ENE/24knot(10mAlt)/3pm, ENE/29/4pm, ENE/27/5pm. Weather.com: NNE/19mph/3pm, NNE/20/4pm, NNE/22/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/20knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3714' soaring ceiling/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +167° cross. Soboba is in the wind shadow of today's strong NE wind, conditions can change rapidly.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/35knot/4pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: ENE/21knot/4pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/10/3. 11:50am
Sunset at 6:29 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, WNW/9/5pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/3pm, WNW/11/4pm, NNW/14/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4302' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Wind direction became good only one hour before sunset.
Friday: Bad: ENE/23knot/4pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/34knot/4pm. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/10/2. 12:24pm
Sunset at 6:30 pm. RASP: W/8knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/9/5pm, WSW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/4pm, WSW/9/5pm, SW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3586' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +0° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: Many had long soaring flights, rough air reported.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: ENE/31knot/5pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/10/1. 7:44am
Sunset at 6:31 pm. RASP: (to be updated) WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/7/5pm, SW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/4pm, WSW/8/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3860' soaring ceiling/4pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +0° to +22° cross. RASP puts the convergence line between us and Beaumont: Wind direction is only half secure.
Hindsight: It was soarable, many had long flights.
Wednesday: Good: SW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/9/30. 1:25pm
Sunset at 6:33 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, W/7/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/11mph/4pm, WNW/10/5pm, NNW/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3752' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. RASP predicts a shift to a favorable wind direction 15 min before sunset. All predictors in general agreement about wind direction. Observation at 1pm: Looking better than predicted.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Tuesday: Good: SW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: SW/11knot/5pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/9/29. 12:02pm
Sunset at 6:34 pm. RASP: WNW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/7/5pm, WNW/7/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/4pm, WNW/11/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5456' soaring ceiling/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +90° cross. RASP predicts a shift to a favorable wind direction around 6:30pm (4 min before sunset). All predictors in general agreement about wind direction.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests that it wasn't good.
Monday: Bad: WNW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SW/8knot/5pm. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/9/28. 2:18pm
Sunset at 6:36 pm. RASP: E/4knot(10mAlt)/4pm, E/6/5pm, ENE/9/6pm. Weather.com: ENE/7mph/4pm, NNW/11/5pm, N/5/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 7133' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +135° cross. RASP predicts us being in an eddy, with the stronger East flow nearby (Banning). Will convection breeze overcome the light/moderate over-the-back wind?
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests that wind direction was borderline (WSW-W) between 3:30-4:30 pm, bad after 4:30 pm.
Sunday: Maybe: W/7knot/5pm. Sunny.
Monday: Maybe: W/7knot/5pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/9/27. 11:35am
Sunset at 6:37 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, W/7/6pm. Weather.com: NNE/10mph/4pm, NNW/8/5pm, NNW/20/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 7755' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +167° cross. RASP predicts we will be in the wind shadow of the Big Bear mountains protecting us from strong North wind, but you could expect conditions to dramaticaly change at any moment if the general North flow deviates a little. Remember: Good wind for launching does not mean it is safe to fly, and safe to fly now may not be in 15 minutes.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests that wind direction was acceptable at times (WSW-W) between 4-5 pm, but bad after 5 pm.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/10knot/5pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Maybe: W/7knot/5pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/9/26. 12:46pm
Sunset at 6:38 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/9/5pm, WSW/7/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/11mph/4pm, WNW/11/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3926' soaring ceiling/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Hopefully, the North wind at Marshall does not reach us and at 5:30 pm wind direction becomes favorable.
Hindsight: Bill & Koosje had good PG flights from 5pm to sunset.
Friday: Bad: E/17knot/5pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: ENE/12knot/5pm. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/9/25. 1:28pm
Sunset at 6:40 pm. RASP: SW/15knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/15/5pm, SSW/14/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +22° cross. RASP predicts good wind direction but maybe too strong for paragliding: Fine line between epic and blown-out. Could be excellent for speed soaring or HG.
Hindsight: At 4pm, 2 PG pilots spending most of their time facing into the wind with little ground speed. Bill had an XC flight to Alessandro Blvd & Gilman Springs (13 km).
Thursday: Maybe: WSW/5knot/5pm. Sunny. Strong North wind at Marshall could reach us despite RASP optimistic prediction.
Friday: Bad: E/25knot/5pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/9/24. 10:43am
Sunset at 6:41 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/11/5pm, SW/10/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/7mph/4pm, W/11/5pm, W/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5812' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +112° cross. RASP predicts convergence line arrives late (6pm, 41 min before sunset) for a favorable wind direction.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests that wind direction was never good (stayed W-WNW).
Wednesday: Maybe: SW/16knot/5pm. Sunny. Wind in good direction, but too strong for paragliding? Bring your speed wing or HG.
Thursday: Good: WSW/5knot/5pm. Sunny. Cool day with max of 77°F.

Monday, 2013/9/23. 3:04pm
Sunset at 6:43 pm. RASP: N/3knot(10mAlt)/4pm, N/5/5pm, NE/9/6pm. Weather.com: SW/4mph/4pm/93°F, WSW/4/5pm, W/6/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: ENE/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5845' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -167° to +180° cross. RASP predicts we stay in a wind eddy. Remember: You can have good wind for launching, yet rotor in flight from over-the-back wind. 3:00pm observation: Between 2 and 3pm it seems the thermal convection is overpowering the light over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests that after 5pm, it may have been soarable at times.
Tuesday: Bad/Maybe: WNW/11knot/5pm. Sunny. Could be good after 5:45pm.
Wednesday: Good/Maybe: SW/15knot/5pm. Sunny. Strong wind all late afternoon?

Sunday, 2013/9/22. 10:35am
Sunset at 6:44 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/7/5pm, W/6/6pm. Weather.com: NW/10mph/4pm/80°F, WNW/10/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6475' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +90° cross. General agreement of all predictors, that wind direction will unlikely be favorable.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was mostly not good for launching in the last 3 daylight hours.
Monday: Bad: ENE/8knot/5pm. Sunny.
Tuesday: Maybe: W/11knot/5pm. Sunny. Could be good after 5:30pm.

Saturday, 2013/9/21. 7:33am
Sunset at 6:45 pm. RASP: (to be updated) W/9knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WSW/9/5pm, SW/15/6pm. Weather.com: W/11mph/4pm/81°F, W/11/5pm, W/10/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Early morning prediction, not using RASP later update. RASP predicts convergence being close until 5:15pm, making wind direction less secure. Wind strength may increase after 5pm. You may need warm clothing.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Bad: W/9knot/5pm. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: NE/5knot/5pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/9/20. 7:31am
Sunset at 6:47 pm. RASP: (to be updated) SW/9knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/10/5pm, SW/9/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/4pm/85°F, W/9/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4157' soaring ceiling/4pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Early morning prediction, not using RASP later update.
Hindsight: Lots of pilots soared. Bill saw an altitude of 4600'.
Saturday: Good: SW/11knot/5pm. Sunny. But convergence line staying close (wind direction less secure).
Sunday: Bad: W/5knot/5pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/9/19. 3:25pm
Sunset at 6:48 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/11/5pm, SSW/10/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/4pm/90°F, WNW/5/5pm, WSW/5/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4743' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Let's hope that the nearby East wind predicted by RASP stays in the area it is supposed to be. 3:20pm observation: Wind direction getting worse in last hour. 10 mph WNW 2 miles W of LZ (where not sheltered from mountain).
Hindsight: Flight report.
Friday: Good: SW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW/9knot/5pm. Sunny. But convergence line staying close (wind direction less secure).

Wednesday, 2013/9/18. 2:35pm
Sunset at 6:50 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/7/5pm, WSW-W/7/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/4pm, NNW/5/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4675' soaring ceiling/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +112° cross. RASP predicts convergence staying near us, so wind direction is less secure. Lighter wind than usual, so launch early.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests wind direction become favorable for launching after 4:30pm.
Thursday: Good: SW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.
Friday: Good: SW/10knot/5pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/9/17. 12:06pm
Sunset at 6:51 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/11/5pm, SW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/4pm, WSW/9/5pm, W/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3698' soaring ceiling/4pm.
75% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. All predictors agree on favorable winds. Not as hot (92°F).
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: SW/7knot/5pm. Sunny, 89°F.
Thursday: Good: SW/7knot/5pm. Sunny, 92°F.

Monday, 2013/9/16. 11:46am
Sunset at 6:52 pm. RASP: SW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/10/5pm, SW/9/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/5mph/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4764' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +112° cross. RASP indicates a risk of the wind direction degrading (more cross right) after 6pm, so launch earlier. Hot (98°F).
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was good up to 5pm, then wind direction become unfavorable for launching between 5-6pm.
Tuesday: Good: SW/13knot/5pm. Sunny. Not as hot (90°F).
Wednesday: Good: WSW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/9/15. 11:46am
Sunset at 6:54 pm. RASP: WNW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/7/5pm, WNW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 7176' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +90° cross. All predictors agree that wind direction will be unfavorable. Hot (99°F).
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was not good for launching after 4:30pm.
Monday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (97°F).
Tuesday: Good: SW/10knot/5pm. Sunny. Start of cooler max temperatures.

Saturday, 2013/9/14. 11:27am
Sunset at 6:55 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/9/5pm, WSW/10/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/6mph/4pm, NNW/12/5pm, W/6/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6150' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. Again, RASP predicts favorable convergence line arriving late (5:45pm). Hot (97°F).
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was not soarable.
Sunday: Good: SW/13knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (98°F).
Monday: Good: SW/11knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (97°F) but cooler tomorrow and for a week after.

Friday, 2013/9/13. 11:57am
Sunset at 6:57 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/9/5pm, WSW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/4pm, WNW/5/5pm, W/6/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6856' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. RASP predicts favorable convergence line arriving late (5:45pm).
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests possible launchable moments between 5:15 and 6:00 pm, but soarable less likely.
Saturday: Good: SW/13knot/5pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: SW/10knot/5pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/9/12. 12:09pm
Sunset at 6:58 pm. RASP: WNW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WNW-NW/9/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/7mph/4pm, NNW/12/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: NW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. All predictor tools agree that the wind direction will be bad. RASP predicts that wind direction changes at 4pm from W to WNW and keeps getting worse.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was not soarable.
Friday: Good: WSW/7knot/5pm. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/9/11. 2:45pm
Sunset at 6:59 pm. RASP: SW/9knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/9/5pm, SW/9/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, NW/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old) 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +90° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.
Friday: Good: WSW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/9/10. 8:36am
Sunset at 7:01 pm. RASP: (To be updated) SW/11knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/13/5pm, SW/11/6pm. Weather.com: W/8mph/4pm, W/8/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Early morning RASP forecast to be updated.
Hindsight: Those who launched at 5:15pm had great/easy flight (earlier probably better) and those that did at 5:45pm worked harder for it.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW/13knot/5pm. Mostly sunny.
Thursday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/9/9. 12:16pm
Sunset at 7:02 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/13/5pm, WSW/9/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/6mph/4pm, NNW/7/5pm, NNW/6/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain starting at 7pm. NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. RASP predicts convergence line arriving at 6pm and light SW wind after.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it may have been soarable at times, direction switching between W-WSW.
Tuesday: Maybe: W/7knot/5pm. No RASP prediction. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/9/8. 11:45am
Sunset at 7:04 pm. RASP: WNW/8knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, W/10/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/6mph/4pm, NNW/10/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain starting at 6pm. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3972' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. RASP predicts convergence line arriving at 6pm and light SW wind after. All forecasting tools in agreement, but not favorable for us.
Hindsight: I was there (general meeting) stayed until 6:30pm and it was not soarable.
Monday: Maybe: WSW/13knot/5pm. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain. RASP predicts convergence reaching us at 5pm but retreating South (bad) after.
Tuesday: Maybe: NNE/3knot/5pm. Sunny. RASP predicts that around 5:20pm (late) conditions could become favorable.

Saturday, 2013/9/7. 3:04pm
Sunset at 7:05 pm. RASP: NW/5knot(10mAlt)/4pm, NW/5/5pm, SW/12/6pm. Weather.com: W/6mph/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, SSW/10/6pm, Cloudy / Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain starting at 7pm. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5699' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind predictions. Typical of last few days: Afternoon rain storm to our SE either blocks wind or sends gust front until storm dissipates by 5pm. 1:15pm: Soboba in rotor (wind shadow).
Hindsight: Mid-afternoon storm and recorded wind data suggests it was NOT soarable.
Sunday: Maybe: W/9knot/5pm. Sunny. RASP prediccts convergence arriving at 5pm and SSW at 6pm.
Monday: Bad: NNE/17knot/5pm. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/9/6. 12:35pm
Sunset at 7:06 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SW/11/5pm, SSW/11/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/7mph/4pm, WNW/12/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy / Isolated T-storms, 30% chance of rain starting at 6pm. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4984' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind predictions. Hot (100F). Wind direction may be OK (RASP). Beware of gust front from rainfall a few miles away, as in past few days. 12:30pm observation worse than prediction: 7 mph NW wind 2 miles W of LZ (W at our WX station) and storms nearby.
Hindsight: Between 5-6pm wind direction was good, but light at 4-5 mph. Wind increased between 6-7pm and may have been soarable.
Saturday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Partly cloudy. Hot (97F). 20% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Mostly sunny. Hot (96F). 10% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/9/5. 11:49am
Sunset at 7:08 pm. RASP: ENE/3knot(10mAlt)/4pm, SE/5/5pm, SE/6/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/6mph/4pm, NNW/10/5pm, W/7/6pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: E/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5751' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +112° cross. Conflicting predictions, but none good. Hot (101F).
Hindsight: Nearby storm produced strong E wind from 3:15-5:15pm.
Friday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Partly cloudy. Hot (100F).
Saturday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (97F).

Wednesday, 2013/9/4. 11:07am
Sunset at 7:09 pm. RASP: ESE/29knot(10mAlt)/4pm, ENE/10/5pm, ENE/15/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/5mph/4pm, W/9/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain 5pm. NOAA: WNW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6072' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +112° cross. Trusted RASP is pessimistic. Conflicting predictions, but none good. Hot (101F).
Hindsight: Threat of rain early afternoon and bad wind before 4:20pm, then direction not bad but light.
Thursday: Bad: SE/7knot/5pm. Partly cloudy. Hot (101F).
Friday: Good: WSW/7knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (100F).

Tuesday, 2013/9/3. 12:09pm
Sunset at 7:10 pm. RASP: W/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W-WNW/7/5pm, W-WNW/7/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/11mph/4pm, NNW/4/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain 6pm. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4600' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. RASP predicts convergence (and favorable wind direction) to arrive at 6:15pm, about 1 hour before sunset.
Hindsight: Wind mostly from SSE (not good) late afternoon and related overdeveopment to our SE.
Wednesday: Bad: ENE/5knot/5pm. Sunny. 20% chance of rain early afternoon and starting at 7pm. Hot (100F).
Thursday: Bad: SE/23knot/5pm. Sunny. Hot (102F).

Monday, 2013/9/2. 7:57am
Sunset at 7:12 pm. RASP: (to be updated) WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, SW/13/6pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/4pm, W/9/5pm, W/8/6pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4597' soaring ceiling/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. RASP forecast is early morning and to be updated. RASP predicts convergence (and favorable wind direction) to arrive at 5:30pm.
Hindsight: A thunderstorm to our South created a gust front that reached us at 4pm. Light NW wind after 5:30pm.
Tuesday: Maybe: W/7knot/5pm. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Good: SW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/9/1. 12:14pm
Sunset at 7:13 pm. RASP: WNW/10knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WNW/11/5pm, WNW/11/6pm. Weather.com: NW/10mph/4pm, NNW/6/5pm, W/9/6pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4775' soaring ceiling/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. All forecasting tools agree on an unfavorable wind direction for soaring.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was NOT soarable: W/WNW most of the last 3 daylight hour.
Monday: Bad: WNW/7knot/5pm. Partly cloudy.
Tuesday: Good: SW/11knot/5pm. Mostly sunny.

Saturday, 2013/8/31. 2:43pm
Sunset at 7:14 pm. RASP: (No data available). Weather.com: S/9mph/4pm, ESE/14/5pm, W/9/6pm, Cloudy, Mostly cloudy, 15% chance of rain at 4pm. NOAA: W-WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old prediction) 3750' soaring ceiling/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -122° to +67° cross. Most reliable RASP predictor has no forecast for today (just a copy of Friday). Conflicting wind predictions. Coudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was NOT soarable (WNW wind) before 5pm. Wind direction OK 5 to 6 pm but light base wind (5 mph).
Sunday: Bad: WNW/11knot/5pm. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/8/30. 10:53am
Sunset at 7:16 pm. RASP: N/1knot(10mAlt)/4pm, W/3/5pm, SSE/5/6pm. Weather.com: SW/6mph/4pm, W/8/5pm, W/7/6pm, Isolated T-Storms, 30% chance of rain 4-6pm (40% at 3pm). NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5103' soaring ceiling/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -67° to +135° cross. Most reliable RASP predictor is pessimistic. Chance of rain and thunderstorm.
Hindsight: Gust front with dust starting at 4:30pm, a few sprinkles or rain. Recorded wind data suggests it was NOT soarable: 30+ mph before 5pm, then calm after 5:30pm.
Saturday: Good: WSW/11knot/5pm. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Bad: WNW/9knot/5pm. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/8/29. 1:19pm
Sunset at 7:17 pm. RASP: NNW/3knot(10mAlt)/4pm, NNW/5/5pm, NE/11/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SE/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3890' soaring ceiling/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -180° to +112° cross. Most reliable RASP predictor is pessimistic. Cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Observed raindrops and thunder at 3:00pm. Recorded wind data suggests it was NOT soarable: SW but light up to 5:30pm, SE after.
Friday: Good: WSW/6knot/5pm. Partly cloudy.
Saturday: Good: WSW/13knot/5pm. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/8/28. 11:55am
Sunset at 7:18 pm. RASP: WSW/7knot(10mAlt)/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, SW/11/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/12mph/4pm, WNW/10/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain (6pm). NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6420' soaring ceiling/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Cloudiness reducing thermals. Small (20%) chance of rain starting at 6pm.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was soarable.
Thursday: Good: SSW/10knot/5pm. Isolated T-Storms (30% chance all day).
Friday: Good: SW/5knot/5pm. Partly cloudy.

Tuesday, 2013/8/27. 3:42pm
Sunset at 7:20 pm. RASP: NE/6knot(10mAlt)/4pm, E/11/5pm, E/2/6pm. Weather.com: NNW/4mph/4pm, NNE/3/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny / Isolated T-Storms (6pm), 30% chance of rain (6pm). NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5371' soaring ceiling/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +180° cross. Afternoon observation is better than RASP predicted. NOAA was right.
Hindsight: Recorded wind data suggests it was soarable.
Wednesday: Bad: S/15knot/5pm. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Bad: N/4knot/5pm. Isolated T-Storms.

Monday, 2013/8/26. 11:45am
Sunset at 7:21 pm. RASP: SE/6knot(10mAlt)/4pm, ENE/10/5pm, ENE/16/6pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, W/6/6pm, Partly cloudy / Scattered T-Storms (6pm), 40% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5993' soaring ceiling/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -158° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind predictions. Risk of thunderstorm (6pm).
Hindsight: Wind conditions were not favorable according to the recordings.
Tuesday: Bad: SE/6knot/4pm, NE/4/5pm. Isolated T-Storms.
Wednesday: Bad: SE/5knot/4pm. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/8/25. 3:47pm
Sunset at 7:22 pm. RASP: WSW/6knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, SW/10/7pm. Weather.com: SW/9mph/5pm, SW/8/6pm, SW/6/7pm, Isolated T-Storms, 30% chance of rain. NOAA: E/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -135° to +22° cross. Risk of thunderstorm.
Hindsight: Wind direction was good late afternoon.
Monday: Bad: ESE/6mph/5pm. Scattered T-Storms.
Tuesday: Bad: SW/3mph/5pm, SE/16/6pm. Isolated T-Storms.

Saturday, 2013/8/24. 7:36am
Sunset at 7:24 pm. RASP: (To be updated) SSW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/11/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/10mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4530' soaring ceiling/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. RASP prediction to be updated.
Hindsight: It was soarable, but not launchable after 6:15pm.
Sunday: Maybe: S/7mph/5pm, SW/11/6pm. Partly cloudy.
Monday: Bad: E/6mph/5pm. Isolated T-Storms.

Friday, 2013/8/23. 2:35pm
Sunset at 7:25 pm. RASP: SW/13knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4794' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Convergence line moving down/South (unusual) to meet us around 6pm.
Hindsight: Wind conditions were favorable according to the recordings.
Saturday: Good: SSW/9mph/5pm. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: NE/7mph/5pm. Isolated T-Storms.

Thursday, 2013/8/22. 2:24pm
Sunset at 7:26 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/13/6pm, NW/9/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/15mph/5pm, NNW/14/6pm, WNW/9/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4290' soaring ceiling/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Late afternoon, wind was from W/WNW (at least until 6:30pm).
Friday: Maybe: WSW wind at 13 mph, if convergence line reaches us. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/8/21. 11:33am
Sunset at 7:27 pm. RASP: WSW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/14mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/7/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4218' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions. RASP predicts convergence line reaching us but staying close (wind direction at risk).
Hindsight: Wind was from WSW/W between 4:30 and 5:15pm, then W/WNW.
Thursday: Maybe: WSW wind at 11 mph, if convergence line reaches us. Sunny.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/8/20. 7:42am
Sunset at 7:28 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W-WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3902' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Karl soared with his PG, and I had a speed wing flight (almost able to soar).
Wednesday: Maybe: WWN/5pm WSW/6pm wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Maybe: W wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/8/19. 3:41pm
Sunset at 7:30 pm. RASP: SSW/8knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/3/6pm, NW/3/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/4mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, WSW/7/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +122° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions. Launch early: Light wind and cloudiness.
Hindsight: Wind direction became favorable at 5:30pm.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/8/18. 2:19pm
Sunset at 7:31 pm. RASP: SW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/8/6pm, SW/5/7pm. Weather.com: W/8mph/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3925' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Thunderstorm developping near Cabazon at 2pm, behind our mountain.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: SSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.
Tuesday: Maybe: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/8/17. 9:57am
Sunset at 7:32 pm. RASP: WNW/7knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, W/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5041' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Most trusted RASP forecast is predicting unfavorable wind direction.
Hindsight: It was soarable after 4:30pm, but light.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 12 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/8/16. 2:36pm
Sunset at 7:33 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5287' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind predictions. RASP forecast of WSW wind, does not match WNW weather station observation at 2:15 pm.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.

Thursday, 2013/8/15. 2:50pm
Sunset at 7:34 pm. RASP: SSW/10knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/9/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/7mph/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Mostly sunny / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4111' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Some cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Friday: Maybe: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/8/14. 1:48pm
Sunset at 7:35 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/5/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5381' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line reaching us but staying close (wind direction at risk).
Hindsight: Wind direction became favorable around 5:45pm. 2 speed fliers had good flight. 2 PG that launched around 6:30pm got about 15-20 minutes as wind got lighter.
Thursday: Good: SSW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/8/13. 2:34pm
Sunset at 7:36 pm. RASP: WSW/8knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/8mph/5pm, W/7/6pm, W/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4143' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line reaching us but staying close (wind direction at risk).
Hindsight: Not soarable, stayed WNW.
Wednesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/8/12. 7:26am
Sunset at 7:38 pm. RASP: (to be updated) W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/8/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4888' soaring ceiling/5pm.
10% (altitude & airspace limited by TFR) chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Early morning RASP data to be updated before afternoon. Only a small chance that the TFR in effect (see restrictions above) is lifted before 5pm.
Hindsight: Soarable after 5pm, but the TFR (due to fire) remained in effect, and club safety officer says not to fly above mountain.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/8/11. 12:25pm
Sunset at 7:39 pm. RASP: W/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/11/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, W/7/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5249' soaring ceiling/5pm.
10% (altitude & airspace limited by TFR) chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line reaching us but staying close. Only a small chance that the TFR in effect (see restrictions above) is lifted before 5pm.
Hindsight: The TFR (due to fire) remained in effect, and club safety officer says not to fly above mountain.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/8/10. 11:55am
Sunset at 7:40 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, W/9/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5197' soaring ceiling/5pm.
10% (altitude & airspace limited by TFR) chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Only a small chance that the TFR in effect (see restrictions above) is lifted before 5pm.
Hindsight: Soarable, but the TFR (due to fire) remained in effect, and club safety officer says not to fly above mountain.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW/SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/8/9. 1:34pm
Sunset at 7:41 pm. RASP: SSW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4273' soaring ceiling/5pm.
10% (altitude & airspace limited by TFR) chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Only a small chance that the TFR in effect (see restrictions above) is lifted before 5pm.
Hindsight: The TFR (due to fire) remained in effect.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/8/8. 11:58am
Sunset at 7:42 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/11mph/5pm, W/10/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3625' soaring ceiling/5pm.
10% (altitude & airspace limited by TFR) chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Only a small chance that the TFR in effect (see restrictions above) is lifted before 5pm.
Hindsight: The TFR (due to fire) remained in effect.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/8/7. 10:51am
Sunset at 7:43 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, SW/11/7pm. Weather.com: W/11mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3782' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts late convergence, around 6:30pm.
Hindsight: Wind did exactly as predicted: W/WNW before 6:30pm, possibly soarable after.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/8/6. 7:31am
Sunset at 7:44 pm. RASP: (to be updated) WSW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/8/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4020' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Early morning RASP data to be updated before afternoon.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Wednesday: Maybe: WNW/W wind at 9 mph. Sunny. Convergence arrives late, around 6pm.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/8/5. 3:46pm
Sunset at 7:45 pm. RASP: SW/13knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/8/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, W/8/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4263' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Maybe: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/8/4. 7:49am
Sunset at 7:45 pm. RASP: (to be updated) WSW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/8/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4768' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Early morning RASP data to be updated before afternoon.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Monday: Good: W/WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Maybe: WNW/WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/8/3. 7:52am
Sunset at 7:46 pm. RASP: (to be updated) WSW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/14mph/5pm, W/13/6pm, WNW/12/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4700' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Early morning RASP data to be updated before afternoon. Conflicting wind direction predictions.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Maybe: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/8/2. 3:15pm
Sunset at 7:47 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/10/6pm, SW/10/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, WSW/5/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts late (after 6pm) convergence line arrival. Some cloudiness reducing thermal strength. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Maybe: W wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Thursday, 2013/8/1. 9:37am
Sunset at 7:48 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, SW/10/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4097' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts late (after 6pm) convergence line arrival.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/7/31. 2:58pm
Sunset at 7:49 pm. RASP: SW/10knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/8/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: (1 day old data) 5309' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Maybe: WSW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/7/30. 3:05pm
Sunset at 7:50 pm. RASP: WSW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4552' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Monday, 2013/7/29. 3:24pm
Sunset at 7:51 pm. RASP: W/8knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/11/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, WSW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4619' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Lighter wind than usual. RASP predicts convergence line reaching us but staying close.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/7/28. 2:58pm
Sunset at 7:51 pm. RASP: WSW/10knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WSW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/7/27. 2:35pm
Sunset at 7:52 pm. RASP: WNW/13knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/12/6pm, WSW/10/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Mostly sunny / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line arriving late (6pm) and barely passing us.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/7/26. 11:46am
Sunset at 7:53 pm. RASP: W/1knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/3/6pm, NW/5/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, W/6/6pm, W/5/7pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain at 6pm. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +90° cross. RASP predicts non-typical light wind of variable direction. Cloudiness will reduce chance of thermalling. Small chance of rain.
Hindsight: According to recorded data from the weather station, wind remained W/WNW (not good).
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/7/25. 12:48pm
Sunset at 7:53 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/7mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Sunny / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4163' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line only arriving around 7pm.
Hindsight: Convergence line only arrived at 7:20pm, WNW wind before (not good).
Friday: Bad: NW wind at 7 mph. Partly cloudy.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/7/24. 11:31am
Sunset at 7:54 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, W/11/6pm, WSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/16mph/5pm, WNW/10/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4560' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. RASP predicts convergence line only arriving around 6pm. Full sun and warming trend usually go along with some North component (like WNW) added to the wind direction. Keep an eye on the wind near the 650' launch.
Hindsight: Not soarable, but great for Mark using the training and kiting hills.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/7/23. 2:29pm
Sunset at 7:55 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WSW/11/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/8mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/8knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4401' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Late arrival (7pm) of convergence line.
Hindsight: Thanks to the new weather station it seems like the prediction was accurate (not soarable) due to continued WNW wind.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Maybe: WNW/WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/7/22. 4:32pm
Sunset at 7:55 pm. RASP: (No data). Weather.com: WNW/3mph/5pm, SE/6/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report. Threat of 35% chance of thundershowers by 6-7pm, lifted only around 4pm.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy. 10% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/7/21. 1:18pm
Sunset at 7:56 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, WSW/8/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/5mph/5pm, WNW/5/6pm, W/5/7pm, Cloudy / Mostly cloudy / Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/7knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions. Chance of rain. Launch early: Low soaring ceiling, light wind, cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Light wind late afternoon.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Sunny at 5pm. 30% chance of rain at 7pm.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/7/20. 2:25pm
Sunset at 7:57 pm. RASP: S/7knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/9/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/11mph/5pm, WNW/6/6pm, WNW/10/7pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/5knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -45° to +112° cross. Conflicting wind direction predictions. Launch early: Low soaring ceiling, light wind, cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Flight report. Good call, not soarable.
Sunday: Maybe: W wind at 8 mph. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/7/19. 12:02pm
Sunset at 7:57 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/11/6pm, SW/8/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/5pm, W/7/6pm, W/6/7pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. RASP predicts convergence line arriving at 5:15pm, but not moving much past us. Low soaring ceiling. Cloudiness reducing thermals. RASP wind data mixup: Saturday shows Wednesday plot.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain early afternoon.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Isolated T-Storms. 30% chance of rain.

Thursday, 2013/7/18. 2:46pm
Sunset at 7:58 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/5pm, NW/6/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5283' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +90° cross. Smoke reducing ground heating. RASP predicts late (7pm) arrival of convergence line. RASP wind data mixup: Friday shows Wednesday plot, Saturday shows Thursday plot and different than today's.
Hindsight: Good call: Bad late afternoon wind direction.
Friday: Good: W/WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/7/17. 8:59am
Sunset at 7:58 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WNW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 7345' soaring ceiling/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. RASP data 1 day old? SoaringPredictor is 1 day old.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/7/16. 2:01pm
Sunset at 7:59 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/15knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5981' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/7/15. 3:51pm
Sunset at 7:59 pm. RASP: WNW/12knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WNW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/16mph/5pm, NNW/14/6pm, WNW/9/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3819' soaring ceiling/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross. Observed 15 mph NW wind at 3:50pm 2 miles W of LZ.
Hindsight: Good call: Bad late afternoon wind direction.
Tuesday: Maybe: WNW/WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Sunday, 2013/7/14. 3:14pm
Sunset at 7:59 pm. RASP: W/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, W/10/6pm, WSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/4mph/5pm, WNW/6/6pm, W/5/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4124' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. RASP: Convergence line timidly reaching us.
Hindsight: Wind became favorable around 5:45pm.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Saturday, 2013/7/13. 12:54pm
Sunset at 8:00 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5233' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report (good call about not soarable).
Sunday: Maybe: W wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 13 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/7/12. 3:18pm
Sunset at 8:00 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WSW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4993' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Wind became favorable around 5:30pm. 3 PG pilots soared.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny. Start of rising temperature.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/7/11. 11:47am
Sunset at 8:01 pm. RASP: SW/15knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/4mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Mostly cloudy / Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4127' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Cloudiness (reduced thermalling). Conflicting predictions. Small chance of rain starting at 6pm.
Hindsight: Very light wind late afternoon: Moderate/strong wind predicted by RASP was wrong. Did not see pilots soar.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 14 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad before 6pm: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny. Start of rising temperature.

Wednesday, 2013/7/10. 3:26pm
Sunset at 8:01 pm. RASP: WSW/13knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/10/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/5pm, SSE/6/6pm, WNW/4/7pm, Cloudy / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -67° to +67° cross. Convergence line (RASP) returning closer after 6pm. Cloudiness (reduced thermalling). Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Mostly cloudy.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/7/9. 3:29pm
Sunset at 8:01 pm. RASP: SW/12knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/10/6pm, SW/7/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Mostly cloudy / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4397' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: RASP was wrong, Weather.com closer to what happened: Good wind until 5pm, then became WNW.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/7/8. 11:34am
Sunset at 8:01 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, NW/11/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/15mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4397' soaring ceiling/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +67° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Good call: Bad late afternoon wind direction.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Wednesday: Maybe: W/WNW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/7/7. 11:33am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/9/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/8mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4003' soaring ceiling/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Good call: Bad late afternoon wind direction.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/7/6. 2:46pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WSW/8knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, SW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3750' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Convergence staying close (instead of moving further North as usual to secure SW flow). Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Good call: Short window of favorable winds around 7pm.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/7/5. 11:22am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WSW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3750' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/7/4. 12:28pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WSW/10knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4782' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/7/3. 4:15pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, W/9/6pm, SW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3750' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: SW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/7/2. 2:36pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WNW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, WNW/10/7pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4151' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +67° cross. Cloudiness.
Hindsight: Winds were favorable after 6pm.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/7/1. 11:06am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/9/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/8knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3637' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Lighter wind than usual. Low soaring ceiling. Cloudiness. Hot: 97°F at 5pm.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Tuesday: Good: SSW wind at 15 mph. Mostly sunny.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/6/30. 11:47am
Sunset at 8:03 pm. RASP: SW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/9/6pm, SW/9/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/6/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Lighter wind than usual. Low soaring ceiling. Hot: 98°F at 5pm.
Hindsight: 4 had good flights.
Monday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Mostly cloudy.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/6/29. 12:51pm
Sunset at 8:03 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/9/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/14mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 8176' soaring ceiling/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +67° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: At 6pm winds were from WNW (not good) 2 miles W of LZ.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 13 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/6/28. 2:41pm
Sunset at 8:03 pm. RASP: WNW/12knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, WNW/9/7pm. Weather.com: NNW/12mph/5pm, NNW/8/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5457' soaring ceiling/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross.
Hindsight: Good call, it was not soarable, staying WNW-NW late afternoon to sunset.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 13 mph. Mostly sunny.

Thursday, 2013/6/27. 7:33am
Sunset at 8:03 pm. RASP: SW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/8knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6873' soaring ceiling/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Sean flew close to 2 hours, another had 2 extended sledders.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/6/26. 7:37am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WNW/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, W/10/7pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 6056' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Good call, it was not soarable, staying WNW-NW late afternoon to sunset.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/6/25. 7:29am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WNW/7knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, W/9/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5255' soaring ceiling/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Good call, it was not soarable, staying WNW-NW late afternoon to sunset.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/6/24. 7:28am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: WNW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, W/11/6pm, SW/13/7pm. Weather.com: W/12mph/5pm, W/11/6pm, W/9/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 3652' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: It was soarable after 6pm.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: SW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/6/23. 12:26pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: W/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/13/6pm, SW/12/7pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, W/9/7pm, Sunny / Mostly sunny / Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 5059' soaring ceiling/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Monday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/6/22. 12:11pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, WSW/12/6pm, SW/11/7pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. SoaringPredictor: 4711' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Friday, 2013/6/21. 3:22pm
Sunset at 8:02 pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/5pm, WNW/5/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: W/9knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4090' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Mostly sunny.

Thursday, 2013/6/20. 11:49am
Sunset at 8:02 pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: WSW/11knot(10mAlt)/5pm, SSW/13/6pm, SSW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4412' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Friday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/6/19. 3:12pm
Sunset at 8:01 pm. Weather.com: WNW/8mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: W/8knot/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4441' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: It was soarable.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/6/18. 1:23pm
Sunset at 8:01 pm. Weather.com: W/8mph/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: W/11knot/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4053' soaring ceiling/5pm (1 day old prediction).
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +67° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/6/17. 2:14pm
Sunset at 8:01 pm. Weather.com: WSW/7mph/5pm, WSW/7/6pm, WSW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. RASP: WNW/9knot/5pm, W/9/6pm, SW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4320' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +67° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/6/16. 11:29am
Sunset at 8:01 pm. Weather.com: NNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP: WNW/9knot/5pm, WNW/11/6pm, W/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4597' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +45° to +112° cross. Late (7pm) convergence arrival (RASP).
Hindsight: Good call, not soarable. 2 HG pilots tried but got sledders.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/6/15. 7:36am
Sunset at 8:00 pm. Weather.com: W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/9knot/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4022' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/6/14. 10:41am
Sunset at 8:00 pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/9knot/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 3631' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Saw a handful of pilots soaring up to mountain height around 6:30 pm.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/6/13. 11:58am
Sunset at 8:00 pm. Weather.com: NNW/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. RASP: WNW/9knot/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4219' soaring ceiling/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +22° to +112° cross. Low soaring ceiling. Sunny, so decent thermals. RASP predicting late (7pm) convergence and bad wind direction (WNW) before.
Hindsight: Good call, with observed unfavorable WNW wind late afternoon.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/6/12. 7:52am
Sunset at 7:59 pm. Weather.com: W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/9/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/11knot/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Cloudiness reducing thermals. Low soaring ceiling.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/6/11. 7:49am
Sunset at 7:59 pm. Weather.com: W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/14knot/5pm, SSW/10/6pm, SSW/8/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 5309' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Windy at 5pm. Cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/6/10. 7:50am
Sunset at 7:58 pm. Weather.com: W/11mph/5pm, W/10/6pm, WNW/9/7pm, Sunny / Mostly Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/15knot/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 3681' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +0° to +67° cross. Windy at 5pm.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/6/9. 5:05am
Sunset at 7:58 pm. Weather.com: W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SSW/11knot/5pm, SSW/9/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm (from yesterday's data).
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): TFR until at least 11 am, no flying allowed.
Hindsight: Soarable, if not for the TFR.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/6/8. 8:10am
Sunset at 7:57 pm. Weather.com: WSW/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/10knot/5pm, SW/9/6pm, SSW/7/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4060' soaring ceiling/5pm.
0% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): TFR, no flying allowed.
Hindsight: Soarable, if not for the TFR.
Sunday: Bad: No flying due to TFR until 11:00 am, but no ride service after, OK to hike up from LZ.
Monday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/6/7. 11:36am
Sunset at 7:57 pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: W/9knot/5pm, WSW/10/6pm, SW/7/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4060' soaring ceiling/5pm.
0% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): TFR, no flying allowed.
Hindsight: Soarable, if not for the TFR.
Saturday: Bad: No flying due to TFR.
Sunday: Bad: No flying due to TFR until 4:30pm, maybe no ride service after.

Thursday, 2013/6/6. 11:48am
Sunset at 7:57 pm. Weather.com: WNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. RASP: WNW/7knot/5pm, W/8/6pm, SW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4075' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +0° to +67° cross. Light wind. Late (6:45pm) convergence according to RASP.
Hindsight: Not a good soaring day.
Friday: No flying after 2:15 pm due to TFR.
Saturday: No flying due to TFR.

Wednesday, 2013/6/5. 2:15pm
Sunset at 7:56 pm. Weather.com: WNW/6mph/5pm, WNW/6/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: W/10knot/5pm. RASP: WNW/9knot/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, SW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4295' soaring ceiling/5pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction +0° to +90° cross. Light wind. Hope(s): RASP's predicted 6pm convergence allowing a favorable wind direction after.
Hindsight: Until I left at 6:35 pm, the wind remained from NW at the 650' launch.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Friday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/6/4. 1:55pm
Sunset at 7:55 pm. Weather.com: WSW/8mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WSW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/9knot/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/11/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4220' soaring ceiling/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Comment(s): Wind direction -22° to +22° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/6/3. 11:46am
Sunset at 7:55 pm. Weather.com: WSW/5mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SW/10knot/5pm, SSW/9/6pm, SSW/10/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 4205' soaring ceiling/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Lighter wind than usual. Low soaring ceiling predicted.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/6/2. 10:31am
Sunset at 7:54 pm. Weather.com: WSW/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA: SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP: SSW/11knot/5pm, SSW/9/6pm, SSW/9/7pm. SoaringPredictor: 3570' soaring ceiling/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross. Low soaring ceiling predicted, so ridge lift needed.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/6/1. 10:14am
Sunset at 7:54 pm. Weather.com predicts W/8mph/5pm, W/7/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts ESE/4knot/5pm, SSW/9/6pm, SSW/7/7pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -112° to +45° cross. RASP predicting light ESE wind at 5pm. Hot: 96° in the shade. Hope(s): NOAA to be right. Favorable convergence predicted by RASP at 5:15pm.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/5/31. 12:28pm
Sunset at 7:53 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/5mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, W/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NNE/9knot/5pm, SW/11/6pm, SSW/7/7pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -22° to +158° cross. RASP predicting NNE wind at 5pm. Hope(s): NOAA to be right. Convergence predicted by RASP is not delayed beyond its predicted 5:30pm arrival.
Hindsight: Weak conditions, with a few gaining altitude (close to mountain height) while others put up a good fight.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny. Hot: 95°F (in the shade).
Sunday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/5/30. 2:43pm
Sunset at 7:53 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/8mph/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, WSW/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/11knot/5pm, SW/14/6pm, SSW/9/7pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -22° to +22° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Maybe: Weather.com predicts NNW wind at 9 mph while RASP predicts ideal SW at 10 knots. Mostly sunny. Hot: 97°F.

Wednesday, 2013/5/29. 7:43am
Sunset at 7:52 pm. Weather.com predicts W/11mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/11knot/5pm, SW/13/6pm, SSW/9/7pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -22° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: Convergence arrived at 6:45pm, not launchable before (NW wind). Bob flew 45 min and got up to mountain height Bill & Sean also flew their PG and Felix his speed wing.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/5/28. 7:33am
Sunset at 7:51 pm. Weather.com predicts W/12mph/5pm, W/11/6pm, W/9/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/11knot/5pm, S/15/6pm, SSE/15/7pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction -67° to +45° cross. Strong S/SSE predicted by RASP at 6pm & after.
Hindsight: Convergence arrived at 6pm, not launchable before (NW wind). Bill flew and got up to mountain height.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/5/27. 2:58pm
Sunset at 7:51 pm. Weather.com predicts SW/9mph/5pm, WNW/6/6pm, NW/5/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot@10m/6pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0° to +90° cross. Wind direction may degrade to WNW/NW in last 2 daylight hours. Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence around 5:00 pm after which, wind will become more SW.
Hindsight: Mark said is was windy and bumpy everywhere, but Dave got up to 5k.
Tuesday: Maybe: WNW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/5/26. 10:26am
Sunset at 7:50 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/13knot@10m/6pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction +23° to +45° cross. Some cloudiness (reducing thermals). Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence around 5:30 pm after which, wind wll become more SW.
Hindsight: I saw at least 3 PG pilots. Mark said is was OK, bumpier than normal.
Monday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 15 mph. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/5/25. 10:53am
Sunset at 7:49 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot@10m/6pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.
Monday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy.

Friday, 2013/5/24. 12:11pm
Sunset at 7:48 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/10mph/5pm, W/13/6pm, W/9/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/13knot@10m/6pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength. Wind direction -23° to +45° cross.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/5/23. 1:32pm
Sunset at 7:48 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/10mph/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/11knot@10m/6pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Hope(s): All predictors indicate good.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/5/22. 2:34am
Sunset at 7:47 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/13mph/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, WSW/12/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/13knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/15knot@10m/6pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength. Wind direction 0-23° cross right. Hope(s): Launch after wind reduces.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/5/21. 10:26am
Sunset at 7:47 pm. Weather.com predicts W/12mph/5pm, W/10/6pm, W/9/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/14knot@10m/6pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Wind strength (RASP). Some cloudiness. Hope(s): All predictors indicate acceptable wind direction.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/5/20. 5:20pm
Sunset at 7:46 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/11mph/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, Calm/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts N/5knot@10m/6pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): RASP predicting N wind at 6pm. Hope(s): NOAA to be right.
Hindsight: 4:15pm: S wind at 20 mph and dust storm in valley to the North. 5:15pm: SW wind at 10-15 mph. NOAA was the best predictor.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/5/19. 7:34am
Sunset at 7:45 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/11knot@10m/6pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-67° cross right. Possible strong wind: RASP predicts SW at 16 knots at 5pm. Hope(s): WNW prediction by Weather.com is wrong.
Hindsight: Flight report + Not a given to gain altitude from the 650' (most struggled and one sank out and cursed in the LZ).
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Mostly sunny.

Saturday, 2013/5/18. 7:32am
Sunset at 7:45 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/7/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/10knot@10m/6pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 23-67° cross right. RASP predicts WNW in afternoon before 6pm. Some cloudiness. Hope(s): RASP predict convergence arriving soon after 6pm. Weather.com & NOAA's WSW-W wind prediction is true.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: NNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/5/17. 3:42pm
Sunset at 7:44 pm. Weather.com predicts W/16mph/5pm, WSW/11/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Mostly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/12knot@10m/6pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 23-67° cross right. 10% chance of rain. Hope(s): More WSW than WNW.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly Cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/5/16. 12:24pm
Sunset at 7:43 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/10mph/5pm, WSW/9/6pm, W/12/7pm, Sunny / Partly Cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/17knot@10m/6pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Strong wind (according to RASP) as convergence arrives around 6pm. Hope(s): Wind not as strong as RASP predicts.
Flight report: Some flew, but windy and so-so.
Friday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/5/15. 11:19am
Sunset at 7:42 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/11knot@10m/6pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence at 6:30pm.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 14 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/5/14. 11:34am
Sunset at 7:42 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/11mph/5pm, W/10/6pm, W/8/7pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/13knot@10m/6pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction prediction between 23° cross left to 45° cross right, cloudiness. Hope(s): All wind predictions are within acceptable range.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/5/13. 2:44pm
Sunset at 7:41 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/11mph/5pm, NNW/10/6pm, WNW/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/14knot@10m/6pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction prediction: 2/3 predict unfavorable WNW wind. Hope(s): RASP's all-afternoon favorable wind prediction (False as of 2:40pm).
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/5/12. 10:53am
Sunset at 7:40 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts NW/3knot@10m/6pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67-90° cross right. Hope(s): RASP's prediction of W wind arriving at 7pm happens earlier.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/5/11. 2:17pm
Sunset at 7:40 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/9mph/5pm, WNW/3/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/13knot@10m/6pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction predictions. RASP predicts over-the back all afternoon (15 knots at 4pm). Observed (2 miles W of LZ): ESE at 13 mph at 2:10pm. Hope(s): Proximity flying in wind shadow if over-the-back wind is light, but risk of rapid switch to turbulent air. Speedfly Boogie event.
Flight report: Short duration convergence around 5:30pm: 2 pilots flew, no significant altitude gain.
Sunday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/5/10. 1:32pm
Sunset at 7:39 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/9mph/5pm, NNW/9/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/11knot@10m/6pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction predictions. RASP predicts over-the back wind until 5pm. At 1:30pm: Clouds indicating East wind. Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence arriving around 5:30pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Small chance: W-WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny. Hope that around 5:30pm the onshore cancels the earlier NE flow.
Sunday: Bad: ENE wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/5/9. 7:58am
Sunset at 7:38 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/10mph/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, WNW/8/7pm, Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSE/8knot@10m/6pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction predictions, 2 out of 3 not good. Chance of rain. Hope(s): RASP predicts SW wind by 7pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 7 mph. Sunny. Start of temperature warm-up (usually related to North wind component).
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/5/8. 7:31am
Sunset at 7:37 pm. Weather.com predicts W/11mph/5pm, WNW/10/6pm, WNW/9/7pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/11knot@10m/6pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right. Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence by 6pm and South wind after.
Hindsight: Not good.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Friday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy. Start of temperature warm-up (usually related to North wind component).

Tuesday, 2013/5/7. 11:32am
Sunset at 7:36 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/13mph/5pm, W/11/6pm, W/9/7pm, Partly cloudy / Isolated T-Storms, 0% chance of rain up to 5 pm, 30% at 6pm & after. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/7knot@10m/6pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Low ceiling, risk of thunderstorm (unstable air even before). Hope(s): Good wind direction. Rain arrival gets delayed.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/5/6. 2:32pm
Sunset at 7:36 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/11mph/5pm, SSW/7/6pm, SW/7/7pm, Mostly cloudy, 10% chance of rain between 5 and 7 pm (30% at 8pm). NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/15knot@10m/6pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength (RASP), low ceiling (cloubase below mountain top at 2pm, raining at 2:30pm), chance of rain. Hope(s): Wind direction +/-23° from ideal.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: W wind at 10 mph. Isolated T-Storms. 30% chance of rain.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/5/5. 11:39am
Sunset at 7:35 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/13mph/5pm, WSW/12/6pm, WSW/12/7pm, Cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/15knot@10m/6pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength (Weather.com & RASP), low ceiling, 20% chance of rain after 5pm. Hope(s): Wind direction +/-23° from ideal.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Bad: WSW wind at 15 mph. Scattered showers. 30% chance of rain.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/5/4. 11:58am
Sunset at 7:34 pm. Weather.com predicts SSW/11mph/5pm, WSW/10/6pm, WSW/9/7pm, Partly Cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/15knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/13knot@10m/6pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength (NOAA & RASP). Hope(s): Wind direction +/-23° from ideal.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Maybe: SW wind at 12 mph. Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of rain after 4pm.
Monday: Maybe: SSW wind at 12 mph. Isolated T-Storms, 30% chance of rain.

Friday, 2013/5/3. 10:43am
Sunset at 7:33 pm. Weather.com predicts W/8mph/5pm, WNW/6/6pm, WNW/5/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NE/15knot@10m/6pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction. Hope(s): Proximity flying thanks to anabatic flow.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Good: SSW wind at 9 mph. Mostly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/5/2. 10:51am
Sunset at 7:33 pm. Weather.com predicts NE/22mph/5pm, NNE/22/6pm, NNE/22/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/18knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/25knot@10m/6pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction and strength. Lee side turbulence. Hope(s): None.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: ENE wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: SW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/5/1. 10:04am
Sunset at 7:32 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/8mph/5pm, NW/7/6pm, NW/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SE/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/23knot@10m/6pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction and strength. Conditions changing within minutes to gusty. Hope(s): Proximity flying in wind shadow, but at a risk.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: ENE wind at 15 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: NE wind at 13 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/4/30. 11:09am
Sunset at 7:31 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/9/6pm, W/8/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot@10m/6pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Hope(s): 2 out of 3 predictors (NOAA & RASP) indicate ideal wind direction.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: NNW wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: NNE wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/4/29. 7:44am
Sunset at 7:30 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/7/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/11knot@10m/6pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-45° cross right. Hope(s): 2 out of 3 predictors (NOAA & RASP) indicate favorable.
Flight report: Wind was favorable all day, handful of pilots soaring late afternoon.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: NNW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/4/28. 3:05pm
Sunset at 7:30 pm. Weather.com predicts W/9mph/5pm, W/8/6pm, W/6/7pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/10knot@10m/6pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-45° cross right. Peaking high daily temperature usually linked to a North wind component. Hope(s): RASP predicts convergence arriving around 5:30pm.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/4/27. 7:37am
Sunset at 7:29 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/9mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NNE/6knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67° cross right. Hope(s): RASP predicts a favorable convergence around 6pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/4/26. 7:42am
Sunset at 7:28 pm. Weather.com predicts W/9mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/7knot@10m/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right. Hope(s): RASP predicts a favorable convergence between 6pm-7pm.
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Maybe: W-WNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/4/25. 11:26am
Sunset at 7:27 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/9mph/4pm, NNW/9/5pm, W/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/9knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right. Hope(s): RASP predicts a favorable convergence between 6pm-7pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Maybe: SW-WNW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/4/24. 11:45am
Sunset at 7:26 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/4pm, W/7/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-67° cross right. More smog than normal at 11:30am.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/4/23. 11:53am
Sunset at 7:26 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/6mph/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSE/3knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/7knot@10m/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction and conflicting predictions.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Monday, 2013/4/22. 7:44am
Sunset at 7:25 pm. Weather.com predicts W/9mph/4pm, W/9/5pm, W/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/11knot@10m/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Tuesday: Maybe: S-W-N wind at 8 mph. Mostly sunny.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.

Sunday, 2013/4/21. 11:36am
Sunset at 7:24 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/6mph/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/8knot@10m/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): RASP predicts NE wind just behind the mountain.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Tuesday: Bad: NW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/4/20. 11:55am
Sunset at 7:23 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/3mph/4pm, NNW/8/5pm, W/6/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts NE/5knot@10m/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction. RASP predicts we stay inside an eddy with NE wind until 6:30pm.
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/4/19. 10:56am
Sunset at 7:23 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/12mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts N/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts NNE/9knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67+° cross right.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/4/18. 9:56am
Sunset at 7:22 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/8mph/4pm, NNW/8/5pm, NW/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/19knot@10m/5pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction, wind strength.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: N wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: NNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/4/17. 11:48am
Sunset at 7:21 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/14mph/4pm, WNW/14/5pm, NW/11/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NNW/11knot@10m/5pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67+° cross right.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: NNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: N wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/4/16. 3:07pm
Sunset at 7:20 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/13mph/4pm, WSW/12/5pm, W/11/6pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/11knot@10m/5pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-45° cross right. Cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: NNW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: N wind at 13 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/4/15. 2:15pm
Sunset at 7:20 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/11mph/4pm, WSW/12/5pm, W/11/6pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Cloudiness. Small chance of rain. Strong wind.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: NNW wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/4/14. 7:39am
Sunset at 7:19 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/14mph/4pm, W/16/5pm, W/15/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/9knot@10m/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right. Strong wind.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Bad: WSW wind at 19 mph. Partly cloudy.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 14 mph. Mostly sunny.

Saturday, 2013/4/13. 7:51am
Sunset at 7:18 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/12mph/4pm, WSW/12/5pm, W/11/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/11knot@10m/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 0-45° cross right.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 13 mph. Partly cloudy.

Friday, 2013/4/12. 11:39am
Sunset at 7:17 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/4mph/4pm, NNW/6/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NE/11knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction.
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: SW wind at 12 mph. Mostly sunny.

Thursday, 2013/4/11. 11:30am
Sunset at 7:16 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/8mph/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/9knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Friday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Mostly sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/4/10. 11:35am
Sunset at 7:16 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/11mph/4pm, NW/17/5pm, WNW/10/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/11knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-90° cross right.
Flight report: Wind became favorable at 6:15pm 2 miles W of LZ, but did not see pilots flying.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/4/9. 11:14am
Sunset at 7:15 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/14mph/4pm, NW/13/5pm, NW/11/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NNW/15knot/5pm. RASP predicts NW/19knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 90-112° cross right. Strong wind.
Flight report: Wind became favorable at 6:20pm 2 miles W of LZ, but did not see pilots flying.
Wednesday: Bad: NW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/4/8. 11:35am
Sunset at 7:14 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/20mph/4pm, WNW/21/5pm, WNW/17/6pm, Mostly sunny / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/20knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/14knot@10m/5pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right. Strong wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: NW wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: N wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/4/7. 11:55am
Sunset at 7:13 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/5mph/4pm, WNW/7/5pm, W/8/6pm, Mostly sunny / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/7knot@10m/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-67° cross right. Strong wind in high desert.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 16 mph. Mostly sunny / Windy.
Tuesday: Bad: NNW wind at 16 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/4/6. 3:35pm
Sunset at 7:13 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/10mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, Mostly sunny / Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/9knot@10m/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-67° cross right.
Flight report: Wind became favorable around 6pm, saw 4 soaring around 6:15pm.
Sunday: Maybe (see alert): W wind at 10 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 14 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/4/5. 2:21pm
Sunset at 7:12 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/12mph/4pm, WNW/9/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, Partly Cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/11knot@10m/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right.
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Maybe: W wind at 10-15 mph. Mostly sunny. Strong wind early afternon (1-3pm).
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 13 mph. Partly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/4/4. 11:45am
Sunset at 7:11 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/12mph/4pm, WNW/15/5pm, W/9/6pm, Mostly sunny / Sunny / Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/9knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right. Wind strength. Small chance of rain.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Partly cloudy.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/4/3. 11:44am
Sunset at 7:10 pm. Weather.com predicts SSE/5mph/4pm, NNE/2/5pm, W/7/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts (from yesterday) W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SE/6knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction.
Hindsight: Not good.
Thursday: Maybe: W-WNW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Friday: Good: WSW wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/4/2. 11:35am
Sunset at 7:10 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/9mph/4pm, NNW/9/5pm, WNW/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/10knot@10m/5pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67+° cross right.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/4/1. 7:52am
Sunset at 7:09 pm. Weather.com predicts W/13mph/4pm, W/13/5pm, W/11/6pm, Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/13knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/15knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right, wind strength, small chance of rain.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/3/31. 7:50am
Sunset at 7:08 pm. Weather.com predicts W/13mph/4pm, W/14/5pm, W/12/6pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/13knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/11knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right, wind strength.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Monday: Good: W wind at 13 mph. Mostly sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/3/30. 7:30am
Sunset at 7:07 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/4pm, W/10/5pm, W/9/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/9knot@10m/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-67° cross right.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 13 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: W wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy.

Friday, 2013/3/29. 1:31pm
Sunset at 7:07 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/7mph/4pm, WNW/4/5pm, SSE/4/6pm, Mostly cloudy / Cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/9knot@10m/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction predictions. Cloudiness.
Flight report: I saw 2 paragliders soaring around 4:30pm.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 13 mph. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 14 mph. Partly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/3/28. 11:39am
Sunset at 7:06 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/9mph/4pm, WNW/10/5pm, W/7/6pm, Partly cloudy / Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/7knot@10m/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction up to 67° cross right. Cloudiness.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 11 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/3/27. 11:13am
Sunset at 7:05 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/10mph/4pm, W/10/5pm, W/9/6pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/9knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction up to 45° cross right. Cloudiness.
Flight report: I saw 3 paragliders soaring at 5:30pm.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Sunny. Warm-up usually associated to North wind component.

Tuesday, 2013/3/26. 10:27am
Sunset at 7:04 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/8mph/4pm, W/10/5pm, W/8/6pm, Mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/9knot@10m/5pm.
70% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction up to 45° cross right.
Flight report: I saw 3 paragliders soaring around 4:30pm.
Wednesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Mostly cloudy.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/3/25. 7:56am
Sunset at 7:04 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/8mph/4pm, WSW/8/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts NE/9knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction: RASP predicts we will be in an eddy.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/3/24. 1:23pm
Sunset at 7:03 pm. Weather.com predicts Calm/0mph/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/6knot@10m/5pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction: In an ENE eddy.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 7 mph. Mostly cloudy.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/3/23. 8:31am
Sunset at 7:02 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, W/5/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/3knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/13knot@10m/5pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction. But join us for the Paul Borne Memorial Fly-In because less flying only means more partying. Related discussion.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Slim chance: WNW wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: NNW wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/3/22. 11:37am
Sunset at 7:01 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/9mph/4pm, NNW/3/5pm, WNW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/13knot@10m/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67+° cross right.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Maybe. For 5pm Weather.com predicts W wind at 7 mph, NOAA SW at 10 knots, RASP N at 5 knots with us being in an eddy. Sunny. In any case, join us for the Paul Borne Memorial Fly-In, see also the discussion.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/3/21. 2:43pm
Sunset at 7:01 pm. Weather.com predicts W/4mph/4pm, WNW/5/5pm, W/3/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts WSW/5knot@10m/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 22-67° cross right.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Partly cloudy.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/3/20. 8:04am
Sunset at 7:00 pm. Weather.com predicts W/10mph/4pm, W/10/5pm, W/9/6pm, Cloudy, 20% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/13knot@10m/5pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right, cloudiness reducing thermals, chance of rain.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/3/19. 7:59am
Sunset at 6:59 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/8mph/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, WNW/7/6pm, Mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/11knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 67° cross right, cloudiness reducing thermals, light-moderate wind.
Hindsight: Not good.
Wednesday: Maybe: W wind at 11 mph. Cloudy.
Thursday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/3/18. 11:35am
Sunset at 6:58 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/6mph/4pm, WNW/5/5pm, W/6/6pm, Partly cloudy / mostly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts W/6knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction at 45-67° cross right, cloudiness reducing thermals, light-moderate wind.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Maybe: W wind at 9 mph. Cloudy.
Wednesday: Maybe: WSW wind at 13 mph. Cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/3/17. 11:04am
Sunset at 6:57 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/4mph/4pm, W/8/5pm, W/6/6pm, Partly cloudy / mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/7knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction, cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Good: W wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Mostly cloudy.

Saturday, 2013/3/16. 3:25pm
Sunset at 6:57 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/9mph/4pm, WNW/8/5pm, WSW/6/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts WNW/9knot@10m/5pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction 45-67° cross right.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Maybe: WSW-WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Good: WSW wind at 7 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/3/15. 2:56pm
Sunset at 6:56 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/8mph/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, WNW/4/6pm, Mostly Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SW/9knot@10m/5pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction, cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/3/14. 1:41pm
Sunset at 6:55 pm. Weather.com predicts Calm/4pm, ENE/3/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/3knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting predictions of wind direction, light wind.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Good: W wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 8 mph. Partly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/3/13. 10:52am
Sunset at 6:54 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/2mph/4pm, W/6/5pm, WNW/4/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/8knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/12knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction, maybe strength.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Good: W wind at 7 mph. Partly cloudy.

Tuesday, 2013/3/12. 11:38am
Sunset at 6:54 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/3mph/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, WNW/4/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts ENE/15knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction, maybe strength.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind at 5 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: NW wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/3/11. 9:58am
Sunset at 6:53 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, WNW/5/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/5knot/5pm. RASP predicts ESE/9knot@10m/5pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: N wind at 5 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/3/10. 12:40pm
Sunset at 6:52 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/8mph/4pm, NW/7/5pm, WSW/8/6pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ESE/10knot/5pm. RASP predicts SSW/6knot@10m/5pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting predictions of wind strength & direction.
Hindsight: Not good.
Monday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/3/9. 7:29am
Sunset at 5:51 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/8mph/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, WNW/7/5pm, Mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/15knot@10m/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting predictions of wind strength & direction.
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Bad: NNW wind at 8 mph. Sunny. Wind advisory from 3am to 2pm.
Monday: Bad: N wind at 6 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/3/8. 11:55am
Sunset at 5:51 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/11mph/3pm, NNW/18/4pm, WSW/12/5pm, Partly cloudy / Cloudy / Few showers, 25% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts WSW/12knot@10m/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength & direction, rain.
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 8 mph. Mostly sunny. 10% chance of rain.
Sunday: Bad: N wind at 11 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/3/7. 10:45am
Sunset at 5:50 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/8mph/3pm, WSW/7/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, Cloudy / Showers, 0-50% chance of rain. NOAA predicts (from yesterdy) SW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/15knot@10m/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind strength, rain.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Bad: W wind at 11 mph. Scattered showers: 30% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: WNW wind at 9 mph. Mostly sunny. 10% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/3/6. 12:44pm
Sunset at 5:49 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/11mph/3pm, WNW/16/4pm, NNW/13/5pm, Partly Cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts WNW/11knot@10m/4pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction & strength.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: WSW wind at 8 mph. Showers: 50% chance of rain.
Friday: Bad: WSW wind at 9 mph. Showers: 60% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/3/5. 2:01pm
Sunset at 5:48 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/10mph/3pm, WSW/9/4pm, WSW/8/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts (from yesterday) SW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/11knot@10m/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Strong wind.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Maybe: W wind at 11 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Maybe: W wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Monday, 2013/3/4. 7:46am
Sunset at 5:47 pm. Weather.com predicts W/7mph/3pm, W/6/4pm, W/5/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts WNW/5knot@10m/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction: 45-67° cross right.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Partly Cloudy.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/3/3. 7:28am
Sunset at 5:47 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/9mph/3pm, W/9/4pm, W/9/5pm, Partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/11knot@10m/4pm.
65% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Cloudiness reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Monday: Good: W wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Mostly sunny.

Saturday, 2013/3/2. 9:46am
Sunset at 5:46 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/4mph/3pm, W/7/4pm, W/5/5pm, Partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/7knot@10m/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Conflicting wind direction predictions, some cloudiness.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Maybe: WNW wind at 12 mph. Partly cloudy.
Monday: Good: W wind at 6 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/3/1. 11:39am
Sunset at 5:45 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/18mph/3pm, ENE/16/4pm, ENE/13/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/20knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/29knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): In strong wind shadow. Wind advisory until 4pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 5 mph. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Partly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/2/28. 11:41am
Sunset at 5:44 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/15mph/3pm, ENE/11/4pm, ENE/5/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/17knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/21knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): In strong wind shadow. Wind advisory until Friday 2pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: ENE wind at 20+ mph. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: ENE wind at 6 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/2/27. 11:10am
Sunset at 5:43 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/12mph/3pm, ENE/11/4pm, N/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/12knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/9knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): In wind shadow. Wind advisory until 2 pm.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: ENE wind at 20 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: ENE wind at 12 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/2/26. 11:03am
Sunset at 5:42 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/10mph/3pm, NNE/6/4pm, NNE/6/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/26knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): In strong wind shadow: Not safe, can go from calm to gusty within minutes.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Bad: NE wind at 12 mph. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: NNE wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/2/25. 11:15am
Sunset at 5:42 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/3pm, WNW/8/4pm, NNW/7/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/5knot@10m/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE wind at 15 mph. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: NNE wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/2/24. 9:35am
Sunset at 5:41 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/20mph/3pm, NNE/12/4pm, NNE/10/5pm, Sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/18knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/25knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): In strong wind shadow: Not safe, can go from calm to gusty within minutes.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Monday: Not good: WNW wind at 7 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: NNE wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Saturday, 2013/2/23. 8:30am
Sunset at 5:40 pm. Weather.com predicts W/9mph/3pm, W/9/4pm, W/7/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/7knot@10m/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concern(s): Wind direction (45+° cross right).
Hindsight: Flight report.
Sunday: Bad: NE wind at 24 mph. Sunny.
Monday: Bad: NE wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/2/22. 10:35am
Sunset at 5:39 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/6mph/3pm, NNW/8/4pm, NW/4/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/2knot/4pm. RASP predicts NW/3knot@10m/4pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concerns: Wind direction, light wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Good: W wind at 9 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: NNE wind at 15 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/2/21. 1:54pm
Sunset at 5:38 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/2mph/3pm, NNE/2/4pm, WNW/5/5pm, partly cloudy / sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NNW/2knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/3knot@10m/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concerns: Wind direction, light wind, some cloudiness.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Bad: WNW wind at 5 mph. Mostly sunny.
Saturday: Good: WSW wind at 10 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/2/20. 2:32pm
Sunset at 5:37 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/12mph/3pm, W/12/4pm, WSW/10/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/15knot@10m/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Concerns: Wind direction + Possibly strong.
Hindsight: Not good.
Thursday: Bad: WNW wind at 6 mph. Mostly sunny.
Friday: Bad: NNE wind at 5 mph. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/2/19. 10:08am
Sunset at 5:36 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/6mph/3pm, WSW/13/4pm, WSW/12/5pm, cloudy / showers, 25-60% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts WSW/12knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Windy and rain starting around 4:30pm.
Hindsight: Not good.
Wednesday: Maybe: W wind at 11mph and sunny at 4pm, but only 53°F. Snow level at 2000-2500' and above in morning.
Thursday: Bad: NE wind. Sunny.

Monnday, 2013/2/18. 10:06am
Sunset at 5:35 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/3pm, WSW/7/4pm, WSW/6/5pm, partly cloudy / mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/7knot@10m/4pm.
55% chance of soaring late afternoon. Some cloudiness will reduce thermal breeze and winds are light-moderate, but direction is good.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Tuesday: Bad: Strong WSW wind. Showers, 50% chance of rain at 4pm. Rain should start around 3pm. Snow expected above 2000' between 6pm Tuesday and 3am Wednesday. Windy too.
Wednesday: Bad: WNW wind. Snow in morning, 30% chance of snow.

Sunday, 2013/2/17. 10:34am
Sunset at 5:35 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/9mph/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, W/7/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/8knot@10m/4pm.
75% chance of soaring late afternoon. Relatively warm too. Come and get it!
Hindsight: Flight report, with pictures.
Monday: Good: SW wind. Sunny.
Tuesday: Bad: SW wind. Few showers, 30% chance of rain.

Saturday, 2013/2/16. 10:34am
Sunset at 5:34 pm. Weather.com predicts NE/12mph/3pm, ENE/12/4pm, NNW/4/5pm, mostly cloudy/partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/21knot@10m/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Moderate/Strong over-the-back wind predicted. Not safe to fly in wind shadow even if calm. Weather.com wind advisory until noon today.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Sunday: Good: WSW wind. Sunny.
Monday: Maybe good: S wind. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/2/15. 11:08am
Sunset at 5:33 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/20mph/3pm, ENE/19/4pm, NE/9/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/37knot@10m/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong over-the-back wind predicted. Not safe to fly in wind shadow even if calm. Weather.com wind advisory until 4pm Saturday.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Bad: Moderate-Strong ENE wind. Partly cloudy.
Sunday: Good: SSW wind. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/2/14. 11:50am
Sunset at 5:32 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/8mph/3pm, ENE/6/4pm, NE/10/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/20knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/29knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Possible strong over-the-back wind predicted. Not safe to fly in wind shadow even if calm. Weather.com wind advisory between 7pm today until 4pm Saturday.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: Strong ENE wind. Sunny.
Saturday: Bad: Moderate-Strong NE wind. Partly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/2/13. 12:25pm
Sunset at 5:31 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/5mph/3pm, NNW/10/4pm, WNW/6/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts Calm/4pm. RASP predicts W/5knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Conflicting wind predictions. Thermals would be your best chance for altitude gains.
Hindsight: Not good.
Thursday: Bad: Strong ENE wind. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: NE wind. Sunny.

Tuesday, 2013/2/12. 10:44am
Sunset at 5:30 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/5mph/2pm, NNE/7/3pm, NNW/8/4pm, NW/5/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/1knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/3knot/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Conflicting wind predictions. Thermals would be your best chance for altitude gains.
Hindsight: Not good.
Wednesday: Bad: W-NW wind. Sunny.
Thursday: Bad: NNE wind. Mostly sunny.

Monday, 2013/2/11. 10:47am
Sunset at 5:29 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/11mph/2pm, NNW/10/3pm, NNW/10/4pm, N/9/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts ESE/17knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: NNW wind. Sunny.
Wednesday: Bad: N wind. Sunny.

Sunday, 2013/2/10. 10:05pm
Sunset at 5:28 pm. Weather.com predicts W/7mph/2pm, W/8/3pm, W/8/4pm, W/7/5pm, sunny predicted but was cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts WSW/7knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Dress warm: 52°F. 10pm update: Never got sunny as predicted and winds stayed light. Sledders resulted.
Hindsight: Not good.
Monday: Bad: NNW wind at 10 mph. Sunny. 58°F.
Tuesday: Bad: NNE wind. Sunny. 62°F.

Saturday, 2013/2/9. 10:42am
Sunset at 5:27 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/4mph/2pm, WSW/8/3pm, WNW/8/4pm, W/6/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts WNW/7knot/4pm.
45% chance of soaring late afternoon. Dress warm.
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Not good: WNW wind (67° cross right). Sunny.
Monday: Bad: NNE wind. Sunny.

Friday, 2013/2/8. 1:03pm
Sunset at 5:26 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/12mph/2pm, WSW/9/3pm, SSW/10/4pm, SSE/5/5pm, thunderstorm / cloudy, 0-45% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/13knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong wind, rain. At 12:10pm I heard thunder and lots of hail at my house (2 miles W of LZ).
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Probably good: W wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Sunday: Bad: SSE wind at 7 mph. Sunny.

Thursday, 2013/2/7. 9:35am
Sunset at 5:25 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/7mph/2pm, WNW/6/3pm, WSW/8/4pm, WSW/7/5pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/9knot/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Friday: Bad: W wind at 16 mph. Showers, 40% chance.
Saturday: WNW wind at 8 mph. Mostly sunny.

Wednesday, 2013/2/6. 11:45am
Sunset at 5:24 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/4mph/2pm, NNW/3/3pm, NNW/3/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/3knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Good: WSW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.
Friday: Bad: W wind at 14 mph. Showers, 50% chance.

Tuesday, 2013/2/5. 11:35am
Sunset at 5:23 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/6mph/2pm, W/5/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, sunny / mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/6knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Wind direction from the different predictors is the issue. One can hope RASP is right.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Possibly good: W wind at 6 mph. Mostly sunny.
Thursday: Good: SW wind at 8 mph. Sunny.

Monday, 2013/2/4. 2:35pm
Sunset at 5:22 pm. Weather.com predicts W/7mph/2pm, WSW/3/3pm, WNW/7/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NW/2knot/4pm. RASP predicts NE/12knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Small chance convergence line could reach us.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Good: WSW/W wind at 7 mph and sunny all afternoon.
Wednesday: Good: WSW wind at 6 mph. Partly cloudy.

Sunday, 2013/2/3. 12:35pm
Sunset at 5:21 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/8mph/2pm, NNW/9/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, partly cloudy / mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/10knot/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Wind 45° cross right.
Hindsight: Flight report.
Monday: Not good: WNW wind at 6 mph. Sunny.
Tuesday: Good: SSW wind at 7 mph and sunny.

Saturday, 2013/2/2. 7:40am
Sunset at 5:20 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/4mph/2pm, NNW/4/3pm, NNW/4/4pm, partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/16knot/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction, either light or strong. Partly cloudy reducing thermals.
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Possibly good: NOAA and RASP predict good wind direction (not Weather.com). Partly cloudy.
Monday: Bad: NNE wind at 6 mph. Mostly sunny.

Friday, 2013/2/1. 11:52am
Sunset at 5:19 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/5mph/2pm, NNW/1/3pm, NNW/3/4pm, partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts E/6knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction, but not strong. Chance that thermals/convection dominate.
Hindsight: Not good.
Saturday: Bad: NNE wind and cloudy.
Sunday: Bad: NNE wind and mostly cloudy.

Thursday, 2013/1/31. 12:51pm
Sunset at 5:18 pm. Weather.com predicts ESE/10mph/2pm, ENE/8/3pm, ENE/10/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/12knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/15knot/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction, beware of wind shear & rotor.
Hindsight: Not good. Made a good prediction earlier this morning because it started blowing 10 mph from E at 12:15pm at my house.
Friday: Bad: ENE wind at 12 mph.
Saturday: Bad: NE wind and mostly cloudy.

Wednesday, 2013/1/30. 9:03am
Sunset at 5:17 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/1mph/2pm, WNW/5/3pm, NW/5/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/7knot/4pm.
25% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: Afternoon E wind at 15 mph.
Friday: Bad: NE wind at 18 mph.

Tuesday, 2013/1/29. 9:15am
Sunset at 5:16 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/3mph/2pm, W/6/3pm, W/7/4pm, mostly sunny / sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WSW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/5knot/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Decent wind direction (22-45° cross right). Mostly sunny will help produce thermals, which you will need, since wind will be light for simple soaring. Bring warm clothes: Cold (57°F at 3pm).
Hindsight: Flight report.
Wednesday: Not good: NNW-NE wind at 5-12 mph.
Thursday: Not good: NE wind at 7 mph. Maybe convection can dominate if over-the-back wind light enough.

Monday, 2013/1/28. 7:45am
Sunset at 5:15 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/9mph/2pm, NW/9/3pm, NW/9/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts NW/16knot/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Bad wind direction (90° cross right).
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Possibly good: W (45° cross right) at 7 mph. Sunny. Convection from full sun may help local wind direction.
Wednesday: Not good: NNE wind at 5 mph. Maybe convection can dominate if over-the-back wind light enough.

Sunday, 2013/1/27. 7:34am
Sunset at 5:14 pm. Weather.com predicts SW/9mph/2pm, SW/9/3pm, SW/9/4pm, partly cloudy / mostly sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/13knot/4pm.
75% chance of soaring late afternoon. Good wind direction (SW is ideal) and strength. Low chance of rain. Arrive early for the general meeting at 1 pm, then enjoy the soaring.
Hindsight: Soarable.
Monday: Not good: WNW/NW wind at 9 mph.
Tuesday: Not good: N wind at 9 mph.

Saturday, 2013/1/26. 7:37am
Sunset at 5:13 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/5mph/2pm, WSW/5/3pm, SW/6/4pm, few showers, 30% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SW/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/11knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Only 15% chance up rain up to 1pm, 30% after. So launch early instead of late to avoid rain. Good wind direction (SW is ideal).
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Good: 10% chance of rain in afternoon, SW wind at 7 mph.
Monday: Good: 10% chance of rain. WSW wind at 6 mph.

Friday, 2013/1/25. 9:39am
Sunset at 5:12 pm. Weather.com predicts SSE/3mph/2pm, NNW/1/3pm, ENE/4/4pm, light rain / showers, 45-55% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/7knot/4pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. All bad factors: High chance of rain, light wind and from bad direction.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Gamble: 30% chance of rain all day up to 2 pm, less after. 6mph WSW wind at 2pm and after.
Sunday: Good: 20% chance of rain, SW wind at 8 mph.

Thursday, 2013/1/24. 9:37am
Sunset at 5:11 pm. Weather.com predicts NE/1mph/2pm, NE/1/3pm, NE/3/4pm, cloudy / few showers, 0-30% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts SE/3knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Rain expected to stop between 11am and re-start at 4pm, so early afternoon is better than late. Light winds.
Hindsight: Not good.
Friday: Bad: 60% chance of rain.
Saturday: Bad: 60% chance of rain.

Wednesday, 2013/1/23. 8:09am
Sunset at 5:10 pm. Weather.com predicts WSW/5mph/2pm, W/5/3pm, W/5/4pm, cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/5knot/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Cloudy skies will not allow much thermalling, but wind could still allow soaring if not too light. If wind is light, try launching from a higher launch, like the 800' instead of the usual 650'. Rain expected to start around midnight (30% chance).
Hindsight: Flight report.
Thursday: Not good: 30% chance of rain until noon. WNW wind at 5 mph at 3 pm and mostly cloudy.
Friday: Bad: 70% chance of rain.

Tuesday, 2013/1/22. 8:25am
Sunset at 5:09 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/3mph/2pm, E/5/3pm, ENE/4/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/9knot/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Over-the-back wind, but light, so convection may dominate. But the later in the afternoon, the more likely wind can start blowing down.
Hindsight: Not good.
Wednesday: W at 5mph at 3-4 pm according to Weather.com but cloudy.
Thursday: Bad: N wind. Cloudy. 10% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/1/21. 10:15am
Sunset at 5:08 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/2mph/2pm, NE/3/3pm, NE/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts SE/5knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. Over-the-back wind, but light, so convection may dominate. But the later in the afternoon, the more likely wind can start blowing down.
Hindsight: Not good.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE wind.
Wednesday: Bad: NE wind.

Sunday, 2013/1/20. 7:43am
Sunset at 5:08 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/6mph/2pm, NNE/6/3pm, NNE/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/12knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/17knot/3pm. Mismatch of date labels.
25% chance of soaring (safely) late afternoon. Over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Monday: Bad: NE wind.
Tuesday: Bad: ENE wind.

Saturday, 2013/1/19. 9:30am
Sunset at 5:07 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/14mph/2pm, ENE/9/3pm, NE/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/12knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/17knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring (safely) late afternoon. Over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Sunday: Bad: N/NE wind.
Monday: Bad: NE wind.

Friday, 2013/1/18. 7:31am
Sunset at 5:06 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/6mph/2pm, NE/6/3pm, NE/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/19knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring (safely) late afternoon. Over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Bad: NE wind.
Sunday: Bad: NE wind.

Thursday, 2013/1/17. 7:24am
Sunset at 5:05 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/20mph/2pm, NNE/16/3pm, NE/13/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/25knot/4pm. RASP predicts E/23knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring (safely) late afternoon. Strong over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: NE wind.
Saturday: Bad: NE wind.

Wednesday, 2013/1/16. 7:26am
Sunset at 5:04 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/28mph/2pm, NE/28/3pm, NE/28/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/18knot/4pm. RASP predicts ESE/15knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring (safely) late afternoon. Strong over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Thursday: Bad: Strong NE wind. Warm.
Friday: Bad: Strong NE wind. Warm.

Tuesday, 2013/1/15. 7:44am
Sunset at 5:03 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/18mph/2pm, NNE/18/3pm, NNE/18/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSW/7knot/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong wind around us and we may be in an eddy.
Hindsight: Wind was from South all day, mostly light. Allowing for speed flying & paragliding. This despite wind observed strong North all day at Crestline. RASP was right this time and Weather.com updated around noon with better prediction.
Wednesday: Bad: Moderate to Strong NE/E wind.
Thursday: Bad: NE wind. Warm.

Monday, 2013/1/14. 8:41am
Sunset at 5:02 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/18mph/2pm, NNE/35/3pm, NNE/35/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/7knot/4pm. RASP predicts NW/2knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong wind around us and we may be in an eddy. Unusually cold (39°F at 3pm, no typo).
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Bad: Strong N wind.
Wednesday through Sunday: Bad: Strong NE wind. Warm.

Sunday, 2013/1/13. 8:39am
Sunset at 5:01 pm. Weather.com predicts N/5mph/2pm, NW/5/3pm, NNW/5/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NE/2knot/4pm. RASP predicts WNW/5knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Wind direction bad but light, so full sun may have convection dominate. Unusually cold (45°F at 3pm).
Hindsight: Not good.
Monday: Bad: Strong NNE wind. Cold (38°F at 3pm, no typo).
Tuesday: Bad: NNE wind. Start of a warming trend, finally.

Saturday, 2013/1/12. 7:50am
Sunset at 5:00 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/6mph/2pm, NNW/6/3pm, N/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts NNW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/5knot/4pm.
30% chance of soaring late afternoon. Wind direction probably bad. Unusually cold (44°F at 3pm).
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: Bad: N wind, Cold (46°F at 3pm).
Monday: Bad: Strong NNE wind. Cold (52°F).

Friday, 2013/1/11. 9:42am
Sunset at 4:59 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/9mph/2pm, WNW/9/3pm, WNW/9/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts W/10knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/6knot/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon. 45-67° cross right. Unusually cold (45°F).
Hindsight: Maybe soarable, but did not see people fly.
Saturday: Local wind in an eddy from general N wind around us. Cold (50°F).
Sunday: Bad: ENE wind, 10% chance of rain. Cold (52°F).

Thursday, 2013/1/10. 10:24am
Sunset at 4:58 pm. Weather.com predicts NW/20mph/2pm, WNW/19/3pm, WNW/22/4pm, cloudy / partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/20knot/4pm. RASP predicts WNW/23knot/4pm.
15% chance of soaring late afternoon. Probably blown-out (too windy) and 67° cross right. Cold (51°F).
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad: NW wind.
Saturday: Bad: NNE wind.

Wednesday, 2013/1/9. 7:28am
Sunset at 4:57 pm. Weather.com predicts SW/6mph/2pm, WSW/6/3pm, WSW/6/4pm, partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/5knot/4pm.
60% chance of soaring late afternoon. Near ideal wind direction, but light wind and reduced solar heating (weakened thermals). Warm (67°F).
Hindsight: Soarable.
Thursday: Bad: Passage of a cold front. 40% chance of rain in morning. Strong NW wind in afternoon. Max of 53°F.
Friday: Bad: NNW wind.

Tuesday, 2013/1/8. 10:15am
Sunset at 4:56 pm. Weather.com predicts SSW/5mph/2pm, SSE/3/3pm, N/6/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts SSW/2knot/4pm. RASP predicts SSE/5knot/4pm.
50% chance of soaring late afternoon.
Hindsight: Maybe soarable, but did not see people fly.
Wednesday: Good: Light (6 mph) SW wind from 1 to 4 pm, partly cloudy, relatively warm (64°F).
Thursday: Passage of a cold front. Strong SW (ideal direction) wind. 12°F cooler than day before. 20% chance of rain.

Monday, 2013/1/7. 11:36am
Sunset at 4:55 pm. Weather.com predicts NNE/13mph/2pm, NNW/12/3pm, WNW/8/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts N/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts N/7knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Tuesday: Light N wind in afternoon, after being strong during morning (explains warmer temperature).
Wednesday: Light SSE wind.

Sunday, 2013/1/6. 10:53am
Sunset at 4:55 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/12mph/2pm, NW/11/3pm, NW/8/4pm, mostly sunny / partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts WNW/5knot/4pm. RASP predicts W/7knot/4pm.
35% chance of soaring late afternoon. 67-90° cross right wind. Rain predicted to start at 5pm (40% chance).
Hindsight: Not good.
Monday: 10 mph NNW wind.
Tuesday: Light NNE wind but 6°F warmer than Monday so maybe wind will be stronger than predicted.

Saturday, 2013/1/5. 9:12am
Sunset at 4:54 pm. Weather.com predicts WNW/3mph/2pm, WNW/5/3pm, NW/5/4pm, sunny, 0% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/5knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Either 67-90° cross right or over-the-back wind. Full sunshine may have convection dominate light unfavorable wind.
Hindsight: Not good.
Sunday: 40% chance of rain. Make other plans.
Monday: N wind.

Friday, 2013/1/4. 9:05am
Sunset at 4:53 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/3mph/2pm, ENE/4/3pm, ENE/4/4pm, sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts ENE/8knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/15knot/4pm.
20% chance of soaring late afternoon. Over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Saturday: Bad, ENE/NNE wind.
Sunday: Fair chance, RASP predicts SW in afternoon, Weather.com South and drop in temperature corroborates.

Thursday, 2013/1/3. 9:58am
Sunset at 4:52 pm. Weather.com predicts E/12mph/2pm, ENE/11/3pm, NNE/7/4pm, sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts E/18knot/4pm.
10% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Friday: Bad, Strong ENE wind.
Saturday: Bad, NE wind.

Wednesday, 2013/1/2. 11:30am
Sunset at 4:51 pm. Weather.com predicts NNW/5mph/2pm, calm/3pm, NNW/5/4pm, sunny, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/3knot/4pm. RASP predicts SW/3knot/4pm.
40% chance of soaring late afternoon. Light/variable wind in afternon, before strong over-the-back wind starts at 6pm.
Hindsight: Not good.
Thursday: Bad, Strong NNE wind.
Friday: Bad, NE wind.

Tuesday, 2013/1/1. 11:58am
Sunset at 4:50 pm. Weather.com predicts ENE/16mph/2pm, ENE/14/3pm, ENE/16/4pm, partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain. NOAA predicts E/15knot/4pm. RASP predicts ENE/29knot/4pm.
5% chance of soaring late afternoon. Strong over-the-back wind.
Hindsight: Not soarable.
Wednesday: Bad, Strong NNE wind.
Thursday: Bad, Strong NE wind.

2012 Forecasting